Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 082114
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
414 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOC041-090030-
CHARITON MO-
414 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR CHARITON COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM
CDT...

AT 300 PM CDT...STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN SALISBURY. ROADWAYS 
IN OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTY MAY ALSO BE FLOODED. 

RADAR INDICATES UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN NORTHERN 
CHARITON COUNTY IN THE PAST THREE HOURS...AND MODERATE TO HEAVY 
RAINFALL CONTINUES TO OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. 
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR. 
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...BRUNSWICK...BYNUMVILLE...KEYTESVILLE... MENDON...PRAIRIE 
HILL...ROTHVILLE...SALISBURY...SUMNER...TRIPLETT AND WIEN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS 
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. 
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR 
IN A VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3969 9269 3938 9271 3941 9325 3954 9329
      3970 9330

$$

PREDMORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
823 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...

QUICK ADJUSTMENT TO THE MORNING FORECAST FOR THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE
POPPED UP. WITH THE MOISTURE AXIS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
FAR WESTERN MISSOURI...AND THE OUT FLOW FROM THE OVERNIGHT MCS IN
NEBRASKA/IOWA HAS...THE LOW LEVEL JET HAS POPPED OF A LINE OF STORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE MID MORNING HORUS ACROSS. EXPECTATIONS ARE
THAT THE LOW LEVEL JET THAT HELPED START THESE STORMS SHOULD PUSH
THEM OF THE MOISTURE AXIS LATTER THIS MORNING...LIMITING THEIR LIFE
SPAN. ADJUSTED POPS ACCORDING TO CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...WHICH
INCLUDED BRING CHANCE POPS AS FAR SOUTH AS KANSAS CITY.
HOWEVER...WITHOUT THE SUPPORT OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...CONVECTION AS
FAR SOUTH AS I-70 SHOULD HAVE A HARD TIME SUSTAINING ITSELF.

CUTTER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
335 AM WED...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN CONTINUES TO FOCUS ON CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE AS
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN PART OF COUNTRY.

WATCHING STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS MORNING. BOTH 00Z
AND 06Z RUN OF NAM WANTS TO BRING THESE STORMS SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...THEN DROP IT SOUTH AS
A COMPLEX THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RIDE SOUTH IN AXIS
OF BETTER MOISTURE THAT WILL BE SITTING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
WESTERN MISSOURI. NAM 800 MB THETA E LINES UP PRETTY WELL WITH
MOISTURE THAT IS APPARENT ON 11-3.9 IR SATELLITE IMAGE. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS ALSO SHOWING BEST MOISTURE POOLED IN EXTREME EASTERN
KANSAS AT THIS TIME. IF THIS COMPLEX DOES DIVE SOUTH THROUGH AREA
TODAY...MAY SEE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY JUST TO OUR SOUTH THIS
EVENING...PROVIDING FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. TRUE FRONT HOWEVER WILL
STILL BE TO OUR NORTHWEST THIS EVENING...SO MAKES FOR A COMPLEX
SITUATION AS TO WHERE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
OCCURRING TONIGHT. WITH SUCH QUESTION MARKS...WILL LEAVE POPS IN
CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW.

TRUE FRONT SHOULD STAY JUST TO OUR NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...REMAINING ALIGNED WITH THE UPPER FLOW. CONVECTIVELY INDUCED
VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL LIKELY BE FACTORS ON WHERE STRONGEST
CONVECTION OCCURS THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT PLACEMENT AND TIMING
OF THESE WAVES IS VERY UNCERTAIN...SO WILL KEEP WITH MIDDLE OF THE
ROAD POPS FOR THE TIME BEING.

BY SATURDAY MORNING...SOUTHWEST UPPER WAVE EXPECTED TO BE LIFTING
NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH STRONG RIDGE HOLDING FIRM OVER
THE EAST COAST...NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION STRONGER STORMS MAY STAY
OVER THE PLAINS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...BUT WITH SHORT WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN PLAINS...SURFACE FRONT MAY BE DRAGGED A LITTLE
FURTHER TO THE EAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THUS BRINGING THE POTENTIAL
OF ANOTHER DECENT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI.

REGARDING TEMPERATURES...ONLY SOME MINOR CHANGES MADE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.  WITH POSSIBILITY OF STORM COMPLEX AND QUITE A BIT OF
CLOUDINESS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES TODAY...WILL LOWER HIGHS A FEW
DEGREES...AND KEEP HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WITH EXPECTED CONVECTION.

PC

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-091200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-
SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-
JOHNSON-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
100 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 435
CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. THESE STORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER AREA OF INTEREST FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS UP TO NORTHWEST
MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS
WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. DEPENDING ON WHERE THE
LINE OF STORMS SITUATES ITSELF OVERNIGHT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS
AGAIN POSSIBLE...EXPECTED MAINLY IN LOCATIONS SOUTH OF I-70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
MISSOURI AND ADJACENT AREAS OF EASTERN KANSAS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY AS UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVER THE MID SECTION OF
THE COUNTRY. WITH SUCH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE...SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE A POSSIBILITY. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS STRONGER UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVE OVER THE REGION.

FLOODING RAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE FACT
THAT MANY AREAS HAVE GROUND THAT IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

LVQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1220 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     HAIL             4 E DAWN                39.67N 93.56W
06/08/2005  1.00 INCH        LIVINGSTON         MO   PUBLIC

&&

MJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1221 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOZ031-032-081815-
CARROLL-CHARITON-
1221 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND
NORTHWESTERN CHARITON COUNTIES...

AT 1218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR AVALON...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF
CHILLICOTHE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CARROLL AND CHARITON COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1224 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

MOZ017-025-081800-
ADAIR-MACON-
1224 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN MACON AND SOUTHERN ADAIR
COUNTIES...

AT 1223 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GOLDSBERRY...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
KIRKSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PEOPLE IN ADAIR AND MACON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
GOLDSBERRY...SOUTH GIFFORD...ELMER...MILLARD...LA PLATA...GIBBS AND
BRASHEAR...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1226 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 PM     HAIL             4 E DAWN                39.67N 93.56W
06/08/2005  1.00 INCH        LIVINGSTON         MO   PUBLIC

&&

MJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1237 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 PM     FLOOD            CHILLICOTHE             39.79N 93.55W
06/08/2005                   LIVINGSTON         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADWAYS ON ROUTE V AS WELL AS SOUTH AND NORTH
            ON HIGHWAY 65.

&&

MJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1256 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CHILLICOTHE             39.79N 93.55W
06/08/2005                   LIVINGSTON         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADWAYS ON ROUTE V AS WELL AS SOUTH AND NORTH
            ON HIGHWAY 65.

&&

MJM