Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Des Moines, IA

March 6, 2005Taylor County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 6, 2005, 8:43 PM CST for Taylor County, Iowa. It was in force for 105 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 6, 2005, 8:43 PM CST (02:43 UTC)
Expired: Mar 6, 2005, 10:28 PM CST
In force: 105 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Taylor County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 92 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2292 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 070243
SVRDMX
IAC173-070330-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0004.050307T0243Z-050307T0330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
843 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  TAYLOR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA.

* UNTIL 930 PM CST.

* AT 840 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  BEDFORD...OR 83 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES...AND MOVING EAST AT
  55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR CONWAY BY 850 PM CST.

THE LOCATIONS OF GRAVITY AND SHARPSBURG ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4085 9490 4060 9490 4063 9462 4063 9453
      4090 9452

$$

DONAVON

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 070253
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
852 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

IAC173-070330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050307T0330Z/
TAYLOR IA-
852 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR TAYLOR COUNTY UNTIL
930 PM CST...

AT 849 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LENOX
TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BEDFORD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 75
MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES TO 91 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DES MOINES...
AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR SHARPSBURG BY 850 PM CST.
  NEAR LENOX BY 855 PM CST.
  NEAR CONWAY BY 900 PM CST.
  NEAR BEDFORD AT 900 PM CST.
 
AT 8:47 PM...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN GRAVITY.

THE LOCATIONS OF GRAVITY AND BEDFORD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4085 9490 4060 9490 4063 9462 4063 9453
      4090 9452

$$

DONAVON

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 070328
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
928 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

IAC173-070338-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-050307T0330Z/
TAYLOR IA-
928 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TAYLOR COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE...

AT 927 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4085 9490 4060 9490 4063 9462 4063 9453
      4090 9452

$$

KINNEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 6, 3:00 PM CST, 5 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 3:00 PM CST, 5 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
300 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...CHALLENGES FOR THE SHORT-TERM INCLUDE THE CONTINUATION
OF WIND BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT AS WELL AS CHANCES
FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE STATE YET
LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LOW OVER MN CURRENTLY HEADING SE
ACROSS WI IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. LITTLE OVERALL DIFF TDY WITH MODELS
LOCKING IN ON GENERAL TRENDS NEXT 24-36 HRS...THOUGH GFS STILL A BIT
FASTER AND NOT AS DEEP AS ETA. MIXED DOWN TDY WITH GUSTY WINDS ALL
AFTERNOON. INITIAL TROF HEADS INTO THE STATE PRIOR TO THE ARCTIC
FRONT BY 06Z.  WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE AS WE HEAD INTO THE EVE HOURS
THEN PICK UP AGAIN AS FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE STATE TOWARD MORNING.
IN THE SHORT TERM MID-LVL INSTABILITY TO INCREASE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF WITH CAPES 400-600 J/KG OVR THE SE QUARTER FROM
03Z-06Z TIME FRAME. LLVL MID-LVL MOISTURE NOT REALLY THERE BUT TD
HAS BEEN INCREASING FROM OK THRU CENTRAL KS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
VALUES 45-50F. THOUGH MOISTURE IS GENERALLY LACKING...ENOUGH
ELEVATED CAPE TO ADD CHANCE TSRA.  UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW...SO ONLY
THREAT FROM STORMS WOULD BE STRONG WIND POTENTIAL...THOUGH THAT
APPEARS MARGINAL ATTM. AS ARCTIC FRONT ARRIVES MON AM SFC TEMPS
STILL NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING. MOISTURE LIMITED AS SYSTEM PASSES
SOUTH WITH ONLY CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE -RW/-SW ON MONDAY. NEXT
CHALLENGE IS THE STRENGTH OF WIND ON MONDAY. FOLLOWING FRONT DECENT
SINKING MOTION WITH +2 TO 4 MICROBARS OMEGA MOVING OVER NC-SW LINE
BETWEEN 12-18Z. FEEL THIS IS THE BEST OPPORTUNITY TO HAVE WINDS
APPROACHING WIND ADV CRITERIA. FLY IN OINTMENT IS POSSIBLE INVERSION
DEVELOPING AS COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVES SOUTH...WHICH MAY INHIBIT ANY
DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE CWA. HIGH
BUILDS IN FOR MON NIGHT AND TUES BEFORE NEXT WARM FRONT...WK WAVE
COMBO MOVES INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES TUES EVE AND OVERNIGHT.
INTRODUCED CHANCE POPS TUE NIGHT. WED SHOWS A SLIGHT MODERATION AS
ANOTHER WAVE HEADS SOUTH OF THE STATE WED EVE.

EXTENDED FORECAST...THU THROUGH SUN...ACTIVE WNW FLOW CONTINUES IN
GENERALLY AMPLIFIED 500MB PATTERN. WITH SYSTEMS PASSING NEAR REGION
AND CONTINUED LOW CONFIDENCE...HAVE HELD CLOSER TO ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
AND INTRODUCED SOME PRECIP WITH WEEKEND SYSTEM ON SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW CONFIDENCE ON PLACEMENT/TIMING AS GFS IS NOW
TRACKING LOW FARTHER NORTH...AND NICE WARM-UP OVER THE WEEKEND IS
POSSIBLE SHOULD THE TREND HOLD.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

REV

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 6:12 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
612 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>049-057>060-070-071-071100-
ADAIR-AUDUBON-BLACK HAWK-BOONE-BREMER-BUTLER-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CASS-
CERRO GORDO-CRAWFORD-DALLAS-EMMET-FRANKLIN-GREENE-GRUNDY-GUTHRIE-
HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HARDIN-HUMBOLDT-KOSSUTH-MARSHALL-PALO ALTO-
POCAHONTAS-POLK-SAC-STORY-WEBSTER-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-WRIGHT-
612 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL IOWA NORTHWEST OF A
ATLANTIC TO DES MOINES TO WATERLOO LINE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE
LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

IAZ050-061-062-072>075-081>086-092>097-071100-
ADAMS-APPANOOSE-CLARKE-DAVIS-DECATUR-JASPER-LUCAS-MADISON-MAHASKA-
MARION-MONROE-POWESHIEK-RINGGOLD-TAMA-TAYLOR-UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN-
WAYNE-
612 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL IOWA SOUTHEAST OF A
ATLANTIC TO DES MOINES TO WATERLOO LINE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
MONDAY.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT WILL BE BETWEEN 9 PM
AND 2 AM. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WITH WINDS TO
60 MPH AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE AFTER 3 AM AND WILL BRING NORTHWEST
WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE
ANTICIPATED MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. IF SEVERE WEATHER IS
OBSERVED, REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

DONAVON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 6, 7:32 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
732 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     DOWNBURST        WEST BEND               42.96N 94.46W
03/06/2005                   PALO ALTO          IA   MESONET

            WEST BEND SCHOOL NETY OBSERVATION.

&&

MR

Local storm report, Mar 6, 8:34 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
834 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             ROCKWELL CITY           42.40N 94.63W
03/06/2005  0.88 INCH        CALHOUN            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY CALHOUN COUNTY SHERRIFF OFFICE.

&&

RUSSELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 6, 8:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Calhoun	96 min
Mar 6, 8:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Webster	90 min
Mar 6, 9:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Ringgold	100 min
Mar 6, 9:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas	94 min
Mar 6, 9:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	52 min
Mar 6, 9:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Marshall, Story	52 min
Mar 6, 9:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Lucas	46 min
Mar 6, 10:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Wayne	41 min
Mar 6, 10:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Mahaska	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.