Lake Effect Snow Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 170106
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
806 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT. VERY COLD AIR
CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW WILL CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND TRIGGER LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF THE LAKES. 

NYZ012-019-020-085-170915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.051117T0300Z-051117T1800Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
806 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW AND SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT... CONTINUING
THURSDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME RELATIVELY STATIONARY
ACROSS WYOMING... SOUTHERN ERIE... AND THE NORTHERN PARTS OF
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE SNOW SHOULD DRIFT SOUTH
DURING THURSDAY AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS
OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE
LIKELY TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...
BRINGING THE TOTAL TO 6 TO 12 INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010-011-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.051117T0200Z-051117T0900Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
806 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW. THOUGH THE
SNOW WILL MELT INITIALLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE...
MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF BUFFALO... BEFORE THE SNOW DRIFTS SOUTH
INTO SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON...YOU
SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR VEHICLE ARE
PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. VISIBILITY AND DRIVING
CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-170915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0001.051117T1100Z-051117T2100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
806 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OFF
LAKE ONTARIO EARLY TONIGHT. AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS...THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW LATER TONIGHT. THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL WILL EXPERIENCE THE CHANGE TO SNOW THE
SOONEST...WHERE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL HAVE THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THURSDAY WITH SEVERAL
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON SNOWFALL IN THE
WATCH AREA COULD LOCALLY EXCEED 6 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN
6 INCHES OF SNOW CONCENTRATED IN A LOCALIZED AREA. VISIBILITY AND
DEPTH OF SNOW CAN VARY GREATLY AND MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 170504
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1204 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT. VERY COLD AIR
CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW WILL CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY AND TRIGGER LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF THE LAKES.

NYZ012-019-020-085-171315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1204 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND
THURSDAY...BECOMING RELATIVELY STATIONARY ACROSS WYOMING...
SOUTHERN ERIE... AND THE NORTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE SNOW SHOULD DRIFT SOUTH DURING THURSDAY
AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE LIKELY TONIGHT
WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY... BRINGING THE
TOTAL TO 6 TO 12 INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010-011-170900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T0900Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
1204 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. TWO
TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE... MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST
OF BUFFALO... BEFORE THE SNOW DRIFTS SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN ERIE AND
WYOMING COUNTIES.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON...YOU
SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR VEHICLE ARE
PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT OVERPASSES ICE
OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND DRIVING
CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-171315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0001.051117T1100Z-051117T2100Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1204 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OFF
LAKE ONTARIO EARLY TONIGHT. AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS...THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW LATER TONIGHT. THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL WILL EXPERIENCE THE CHANGE TO SNOW THE
SOONEST...WHERE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL HAVE THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THURSDAY WITH SEVERAL
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON SNOWFALL IN THE
WATCH AREA COULD LOCALLY EXCEED 6 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN
6 INCHES OF SNOW CONCENTRATED IN A LOCALIZED AREA. VISIBILITY AND
DEPTH OF SNOW CAN VARY GREATLY AND MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

LEVAN

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 170949
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LOWER LAKES TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE RELATIVE WARM LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ010-011-171200-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T0930Z-051117T1200Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAD TO BE REISSUED AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FURTHER. SOME AREAS
MAINLY SOUTH OF A BUFFALO BATAVIA LINE WILL GET ANOTHER FEW INCHES
THROUGH 7 AM. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AS BRISK WINDS ADD TO THE
PROBLEMS WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-171730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING.

EXPECT AND ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL
HAVE STORM TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT. 

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-171730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL SNOW OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE
THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-171730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0001.051117T1100Z-051117T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T0930Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW OF
SNOW ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. IT WILL BE MAINLY FROM WATERTOWN TO
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING DRIFTING SOUTH DURING THE 
AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON...BE ESPECIALLY
CAREFUL AND USE YOUR BEST WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-171730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0001.051117T1100Z-051117T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T0930Z-051118T0300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
450 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECTED 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES THIS
EVENING. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 170957
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LOWER LAKES TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE RELATIVE WARM LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ012-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ADDITIONAL SNOW OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE
THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

EXPECT AND ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL
HAVE STORM TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010-011-171200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T1200Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAD TO BE REISSUED AS LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FURTHER. SOME
AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A BUFFALO BATAVIA LINE WILL GET ANOTHER FEW
INCHES THROUGH 7 AM. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AS BRISK WINDS ADD
TO THE PROBLEMS WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW OF
SNOW ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. IT WILL BE MAINLY FROM WATERTOWN TO
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING DRIFTING SOUTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON...BE ESPECIALLY
CAREFUL AND USE YOUR BEST WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051118T0300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
457 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECTED 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES THIS
EVENING. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 171059
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LOWER LAKES TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE RELATIVE WARM LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ010-171500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE SOUTHTOWN AREAS OF NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY WILL CONTINUE TO BE
LOCATED IN THE HEAVIER PORTION OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND
THROUGH AROUND 10 AM. ALTHOUGH BUFFALO WILL RECEIVE AN INCH OR
LESS OF NEW SNOW...SOUTHTOWN AREAS MAY GET AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7
INCHES OF NEW SNOW WITH TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ADDITIONAL SNOW OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE
THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH. SOME TOTALS COULD REACH
10 INCHES. WATCH FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-171900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

EXPECT AND ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL
HAVE STORM TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ011-171500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T1500Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS FURTHER.
SOME AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF BATAVIA WILL GET ANOTHER FEW INCHES
THROUGH 10 AM. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AS BRISK WINDS ADD TO THE
PROBLEMS WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-171900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW OF
SNOW ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. IT WILL BE MAINLY FROM WATERTOWN TO
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING DRIFTING SOUTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON...BE ESPECIALLY
CAREFUL AND USE YOUR BEST WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-171900-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051118T0300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
559 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECTED 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES THIS
EVENING. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 171412
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LOWER LAKES TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE RELATIVE WARM LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ011-171515-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T1500Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

ONLY LIGHT SNOW WITH LESS THAN INCH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS 
EXPECTED THE REST OF TODAY.

$$

NYZ007-008-172215-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS 
THE AREA TODAY. IT WILL BE MAINLY FROM WATERTOWN TO NORTHERN LEWIS 
COUNTY DRIFTING SOUTH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON...BE ESPECIALLY
CAREFUL AND USE YOUR BEST WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ010-171800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

HEAVIER SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHTOWNS AREAS OF NORTHERN
ERIE COUNTY INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. BUFFALO WILL RECEIVE LITTLE
IF ANY NEW SNOW...BUT AREAS SUCH AS ELMA AND MARILLA WILL GET
ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH TOTALS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES IN SOME
AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-172100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ADDITIONAL SNOW OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON 
BEFORE THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH. SOME TOTALS COULD 
REACH 12 INCHES. WATCH FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND POOR 
VISIBILITIES.

IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND 
YOUR VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT 
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND 
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN LAKE 
EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-172215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN ERIE AND THE 
NORTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES DURING THE 
AFTERNOON. EXPECT AND ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING 
AND DRIFTING AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL 
HAVE STORM TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT. THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA 
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES...BUT IT SHOULD 
BE SNOW FREE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-172215-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T1900Z-051118T0300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
912 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT BANDS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS EVENING.
DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

BLACKBURN

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 171651
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOWER LAKES THIS
AFTERNOON...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE RELATIVE WARM LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ010-171800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OUT OF THE AREA. NO 
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ012-172100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ADDITIONAL SNOW OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON 
BEFORE THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS DRIFT FURTHER SOUTH. SOME TOTALS COULD 
REACH 16 INCHES. WATCH FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND POOR 
VISIBILITIES.

IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU
AND YOUR VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS.
REMEMBER THAT OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES.
VISIBILITY AND DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT
DISTANCE IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-180000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN ERIE AND THE 
NORTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES DURING THE 
AFTERNOON. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING 
AND DRIFTING AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL 
HAVE STORM TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT. THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA 
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON FOR MOST
AREAS...YOU SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. REMEMBER THAT
OVERPASSES ICE OVER BEFORE OTHER ROAD SURFACES. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-172300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE MAINLY FROM WATERTOWN
TO NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY DRIFTING SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON...BE ESPECIALLY
CAREFUL AND USE YOUR BEST WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-180100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T1900Z-051118T0300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1151 AM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS
EVENING. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

BLACKBURN

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 172025
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT...

.A NORTHWEST FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
RELATIVE WARM GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ007-008-172130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED SOUTH. ANOTHER 2 TO 3
INCHES IS POSSIBLE...BUT IT WILL NOT BE WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOW
FELL EARLIER TODAY.

$$

NYZ085-172130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0000Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS HAVE MOVED SOUTH OUT OF THE COUNTY. ANOTHER
1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

$$

NYZ012-172130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051117T2100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS HAVE MOVED SOUTH OUT OF THE COUNTY. ANOTHER
1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

$$

NYZ019-020-180300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. EXPECT AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING AND
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS WILL HAVE STORM
TOTALS CLOSE TO A FOOT. THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES.

USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING. BE SURE YOU AND YOUR
VEHICLE ARE PREPARED FOR SNOW AND SLIPPERY ROADS. VISIBILITY AND
DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN DECREASE RAPIDLY IN A SHORT DISTANCE IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-180430-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T2025Z-051118T0900Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE TONIGHT.
BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES AND MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-180430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.051117T2025Z-051118T0900Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
325 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE TONIGHT.
BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES AND MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

BLACKBURN

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 180250
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT...

.A NORTHWEST FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
RELATIVE WARM GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

NYZ019-020-180400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-051118T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
950 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS. WHILE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT...THE HEAVIEST SNOW HAS ENDED.

$$

NYZ004>006-181100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051118T1400Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
950 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE MORNING
HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND LIFTING NORTH. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW
ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW...WITH ANOTHER INCH
OR TWO POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. BRISK
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES AND MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
248 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...

OUR DRASTIC CHANGE FROM RECORD WARMTH TO WINTER COLD IS UNDERWAY AS
COLD AIR HAS BEGUN TO SWEEP IN FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST IN WAKE
OF THE POWERFUL STORM WHICH PASSES ACROSS UPPER LAKES INTO ONTARIO
AND QUEBEC. LAST OF RAIN SHOULD EXIT OUR ERN LK ONT COUNTIES BEFORE
00Z SO WILL FOCUS OUR ATTENTION ON LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL.

PARAMETERS ALL LOOK A LITTLE BETTER FOR A SIGNIFICANT EVENT LATER
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. MODEL 850-925 MB TEMPS SEEM ONE TO TWO
DEG COLDER WITH EACH RUN...AND NOTE SUBFREEZING DAYTIME TEMPS AND
SNOW SHOWERS AS FAR EAST AS CNTRL OHIO...DROPS OF 40 DEGREES IN 24
HOURS SOME LIMITED LK EFFECT HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER LK
ERIE...BUT IT IS SHOWERY AND SCATTERED IN NATURE SO FAR.

FOLLOWED MESOSCALE ETA12 MODEL CLOSELY FOR FIRST 36 HRS OF
FORECAST...WHICH SHOWS ERIE BAND CONSOLIDATING ON A 245-250 FLOW
OVER METRO BUF THIS EVENING...THEN SETTLING ONLY SLIGHTLY TO 250-260
MOST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE TROF SHOVES IT SOUTH TOWARD MIDDAY
THURSDAY. MODEL QPF IN 0.5 INCH RANGE MAX...AND THIS LOOKS
REASONABLE. AM QUITE CONCERNED WITH WARMTH OF LAKE AND ROBUST START
OF ACTIVITY ALREADY...ONLY QUESTION WILL BE TIMING ON CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW. ALL LK EFFECT PARAMETERS ARE EXCELLENT...PLENTY OF
MOISTURE...RELATIVELY HIGH EQUIL LEVEL/INVERSION (10K FT)...LITTLE
OR NO SHEAR...GOOD VERTICAL VELOCITY AND SNOW GROWTH BY LATER
TONIGHT. SO..WE MAY BE IN FOR QUITE AN EVENT...AND HERE IS OUR BEST
ESTIMATE ON HOW IT WILL PLAY OUT OFF LK ERIE...

RAIN SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY ORGANIZE INTO A SINGLE BAND BY EARLY
EVENING OVER METRO BUF AND ON INTO GEN/ORL COS...RAIN AT FIRST...BUT
CHANGING TO GRAUPEL AND THEN SNOW BY MID EVENING...ALONG WITH SOME
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. BAND SHOULD EDGE SOUTH A BIT INTO BUF
SOUTHTOWNS AND WRN WYO COUNTY...ALSO HUGGING CHAUT CO LAKESHORE. IT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT AND THEN EDGE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH
THURS MORNING BEFORE EVOLVING INTO MULT BANDS ON WNW FLOW IN
AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMS CAN BE AS MUCH AS 6-12 INCHES IN MOST
PERSISTENT BAND...AND THIS CAN OCCUR ANYWHERE FROM DUNKIRK TO COLDEN
TO ORCHD PARK. BUF METRO A VERY TOUGH CALL...LITTLE OR NONE NORTH OF
DOWNTOWN TO AIRPORT BUT AMTS COULD INCR FAST JUST TO SOUTH. FOR
NOW...WILL HOIST WARNING FOR SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING COS FOR 3-6
TONIGHT AND 3-6 THURS...ADVIS FOR NRN ERIE/GENESEE (INCL IMMED BUF)
FOR 2-4...ALTHOUGH FOCUS ON S AND E OF BUF. ALSO WILL SEE WRNG
CRITERIA EDGING INTO N CHAUT AND NW CATT COS THURS MORNING. LESS
ACCUM TO SOUTH LATER ON.

NOW...OVER ON OUR OTHER LAKE...IT SHOULD STAY WARM ENOUGH MOST OF
THE NIGHT FOR ANYTHING TO FALL AS LIQUID...UNTIL AFT 06-08Z OR SO.
BY THEN WE WILL HAVE SOME LK EFFECT OVER JEFF COUNTY...BUT NOTHING
MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO. ACTIVITY SHOULD REALLY GET GOING ON THURS
OVER SRN JEFF/LEWIS AND SETTLE SOUTH DURING DAY AS WINDS
VEER...EVENTUALLY WINDING UP OVER OSW COUNTY LATER IN DAY. FOR
NOW...WILL CONTINUE WATCH FOR THE 3 COUNTIES FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM THURS
AND LET FUTURE SHIFTS ISSUE APPROPRIATE FLAGS.

RIDGING TRIES TO MOVE IN THURS NT...BUT WITH 850S DOWN TO -14C IT
WILL BE OUR COLDEST NIGHT OF SEASON BY FAR (& BUFS FIRST
FREEZE)...AND LK EFF ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE SE OF LAKES...WILL PLAY
LIKELY POPS FOR NOW WITH A FEW INCHES IN GRIDS IN THOSE AREAS...CHC
ELSEWHERE. FRIDAY WILL BE DRY IN MOST PLACES...WINDS WILL BACK
QUICKLY BUT THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LES BUF/IAG/ART AS THE
WINDS SWING FROM WEST TO SOUTH.

MILDER SW FLOW SATURDAY...TOO MILD FOR LK EFFECT...DRY AND 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

FOLLOWED HPC GRAPHICS THROUGH THIS PERIOD. TWO TROFS/FRONTS TO
AFFECT OUR REGION. ONE WEAK ONE LATER SUNDAY...WELL KEEP LOWER CHC
POPS IN THEN...RAIN TO SNOW...THEN A RIDGE MONDAY...DRY...THEN MORE
POTENT SYSTEM TUES WITH CHC RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER
AIRMASS MOVES IN FOR WED...WITH 850 TEMPS DOWN TO -20C IT SURE
LOOKS LIKE A COLD THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

LAKE EFFECT BANDS OFF OF ERIE AND...LATER TONIGHT OFF OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL AFFECT DOWNWIND AREAS WITH SNOW SQUALLS WITH LIFR
CONDITIONS.  THE ERIE BAND WILL JUST CLIP KBUF...WHICH WILL BE AT
THE NORTHERN EXTREME OF THE LAKE ERIE EVENT EARLY THIS EVENING.
KJHW WILL BE AT THE SOUTHERN END...AND GET CLIPPED LATE TONIGHT.
KART WILL BE UNDER THE ONTARIO BAND OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
REMAINING AREAS OF WESTERN NY WILL EXPERIENCE DRY CONDITIONS WITH
DECREASING SLOWLY CLOUD COVER AND GENERALLY VFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS
UNDER TEMPO CIGS.

&&

.MARINE...

WILL DOWNGRADE WINDS FROM GALES TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS UNDER 35 KNOTS AND WAVES HEIGHTS LOWERING SOMEWHAT
OVERNIGHT.  EXPECT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO SLOWLY VEER TO WESTERLY
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.BUF...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING 10 PM TONIGHT TO 1 PM THURS
       NYZ012-019-020-085.
       LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY 9 PM TONIGHT TO 4 AM THURS
       NYZ010-011.
       LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 6AM TO 6 PM THURS NYZ006>008
.MARINE...GALES LK ONTARIO THROUGH 4 PM THURS.
       SMALL CRAFTS ALL NEARSHORE MARINE ZONES THROUGH 4 PM THURS.

SHORT/LONG TERM...MCLAUGHLIN
AVIATION/MARINE...ZAFF
WARNINGS...APB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

NYZ001>003-010-011-171100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH EARLY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

THESE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT LATE TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT... WHEN SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL DROP BELOW 40 MPH.

ALONG THE COLD FRONT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCING SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THIS
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-171100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM FOR CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH EARLY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

THESE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT LATE TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT... WHEN SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL DROP BELOW 40 MPH.

ALONG THE COLD FRONT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCING SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THIS
MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT.

SEVERAL INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD EXCEED 6 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-013-014-021-171100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH EARLY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH.

THESE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT LATE TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT... WHEN SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL DROP BELOW 40 MPH.

ALONG THE COLD FRONT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCING SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LATE
THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-171100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH EARLY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

THESE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT LATE TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT... WHEN SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL DROP BELOW 40 MPH.

ALONG THE COLD FRONT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCING SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LATE
THIS MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT.

SEVERAL INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS LIKELY...AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER
THE TUG HILL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
LOCALIZED SNOWFALL TOTALS COULD EXCEED 6 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE TUG HILL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-171100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
558 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT ON LAKE ONTARIO AND THE NEARSHORES OF LAKE
ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT ON THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE ONTARIO AND THE NEARSHORES
OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL BE REACHED ON THE NEARSHORES OF
LAKE ERIE THURSDAY AND ON THE NEARSHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO THURSDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA