Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
321 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...
NEARLY FULL INSOLATION HAS ALLOWED THE AIRMASS OVER THE PANHANDLES TO
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE USUAL TSTMS ARE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PUSH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PANHANDLES WHERE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 612 HAS ALREADY BEEN POSTED. HEAVY
RAIN...WIND AND HAIL LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. MEANWHILE...
DECENT CU/TCU FIELD HAS DEVELOPED OVER OLDHAM...DEAF SMITH...POTTER
AND RANDALL COUNTIES. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE FURTHER
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

UPPER AIR PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE A WHOLE LOT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. HAVE NOT MADE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE LATER
PERIODS EXCEPT TO ADD POPS TO THE THURSDAY NIGHT PERIOD. THE WESTERN
ZONES ARE FAVORED AGAIN BASED ON PROXIMITY TO THE MOUNTAINS WHERE
TSTM INITIATION IS MORE LIKELY. PRIMARY CHALLENGE WILL BE TO SEE HOW
THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS PLAY OUT. WE MAY SEE LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE
ACROSS THIS PORTION OF THE HIGH PLAINS SO INHERITED DRY FORECAST
STILL LOOKS PLAUSIBLE.

SLATTERY

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

13/02

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1032 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2005

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-071100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
1032 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 612 WAS CLEARED FOR CIMARRON...
DALLAM...AND HARTLEY COUNTIES...BUT WAS EXTENDED FOR OLDHAM AND
DEAF SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. ALSO...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH NUMBER 615 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE UNTIL 1 AM CDT.

STORMS IN THE WATCH AREAS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLES. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG
AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM GUYMON OKLAHOMA TO AMARILLO TEXAS.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY EVENING
AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES. ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE READY FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION TONIGHT...AND AGAIN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ANDRADE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
947 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0946 PM     TORNADO          12 N VEGA               35.42N 102.43W
07/06/2005                   OLDHAM             TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO STARTED AT 9:28 PM AND ENDED AT 9:30 PM. LASTED
            2 MINUTES.

&&

JJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
950 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 PM     HAIL             BOYS RANCH              35.51N 102.25W
07/06/2005  1.75 INCH        OLDHAM             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1026 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     HAIL             6 N ADRIAN              35.36N 102.66W
07/06/2005  2.50 INCH        OLDHAM             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED TENNIS TO BASEBALL SIZED HAIL
            NORTH OF ADRIAN.

&&

JJB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1032 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2005

TXZ013-070415-
CARSON TX-
1032 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2005

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN CARSON COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF PANHANDLE AT 1032
PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH SIZE HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN CARSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF PANHANDLE...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY...LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND
REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JORDAN

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1039 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1039 PM     HAIL             4 E ADRIAN              35.28N 102.59W
07/06/2005  0.75 INCH        OLDHAM             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

JJB