Wind Advisory 15, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 081957
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1157 AM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

AKZ208-090400-
/X.EXA.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T1300Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE
1157 AM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM ADT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM ADT TUESDAY. 

$$

AKZ207-090400-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T1300Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
1157 AM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM ADT TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM ADT TUESDAY. 

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 090354
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
754 PM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

AKZ207-208-091300-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T1300Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG...
NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE
754 PM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM ADT TUESDAY...

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO 55 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING
SOMEWHAT EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 091238
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
438 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005

AKZ208-091345-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T1300Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE
438 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

AKZ207-092000-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T2000Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
438 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005

...WIND ADVISORY EXTENDED UNTIL NOON ADT TODAY FOR POINT HOPE...

THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL NOON ADT TODAY. 

SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 091927
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1127 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005


AKZ207-092030-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-050809T2000Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
1127 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
600 AM ADT MON AUG 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...BIG 500 MB RIDGE IS PUSHING NORTH FROM THE PACIFIC AND
WILL REFUSE TO BUDGE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...IN LINE WITH
CLASSIC OMEGA PATTERN SETUP WITH LOWS BOTH TO ITS EAST AND WEST.
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL FIND IT MORE DIFFICULT TO PENETRATE
INLAND DURING THE WEEK.  ONE HEALTHY DISTURBANCE WILL SKIM THE
NORTHWEST COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER ONE WILL MOVE UP THE
WEST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...THE RIDGE WILL
KEEP CLOUDS AWAY.

SURFACE...THE NEXT DISTURBANCE IN A RECENT SERIES WILL NOT MAKE
MUCH OF AN IMPRESSION ON THE SURFACE CHARTS COURTESY OF THE RUGGED
TERRAIN OF CHUKOTKA...HOWEVER IT SHOULD REORGANIZE IN THE WESTERN
CHUKCHI SEA AND STEEPEN GRADIENTS ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST FOR
MONDAY. UNDERNEATH THE MASSIVE 500 MB RIDGE THIS WEEK...SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REST SUPREME WHILE LOWS KEEP WELL OFF THE NORTH
AND WEST COASTS.

WEST COAST...IN THE WAKE OF THE CHUKCHI SEA SYSTEM...SURF WILL
LINGER ON THE SEAS NORTHWESTERN SHORES AND LOW CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE
WILL KEEP THE AIR DAMP ALL DAY IN NOME AND KOTZEBUE. BETWEEN
SYSTEMS ON TUESDAY COASTAL VILLAGES WILL STILL ENDURE MARINE
STRATUS OFFERING FEW SUNBREAKS. INLAND OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST
HOWEVER SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY. WEDNESDAY ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL
SPREAD RAIN CHANCES NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST. BOTH ECMWF AND GFS
HINT AT RETROGRADING THE 500 MB RIDGE WESTWARD TO GALENA-LAND.
SHOULD THIS HAPPEN...NOMITES AND OTHER NORTON SOUNDERS COULD HAVE
ABSOLUTELY AWESOME BERRY PICKING WEATHER. ANY GOOD PERSISTENT
OFFSHORE FLOW THAT DEVELOPS COULD THREATEN PRETTY DAYS WITH SMOKE.

ARCTIC COAST AND NORTH SLOPE...
THE RISK OF HIGH WINDS AROUND CAPE LISBURNE TODAY IS GREAT ENOUGH
TO WARRANT HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM SKIRTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA AND THE
ARCTIC COAST. LIGHT RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH DISTURBANCES MOVING WEST
TO EAST ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF THE INTERIOR RIDGE WILL
PERIODICALLY FALL ACROSS THE REGION. CONTINUED WESTWARD FLOW ALONG
THE COAST WILL MORE THAN LIKELY BRING IN FOG AT TIMES.

INTERIOR...ANY LEFTOVER STRATUS AND CIRRUS DECKS WILL BURN OFF IN
THE INTERIOR ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER ALASKA WILL
TURN THE CORNER AND START WINNING THE CLOUD SUPRESSION BATTLE
AGAINST SURFACE FORCING TUESDAY. THE REAL BAKING BEGINS TUESDAY AS
MANY LOCATIONS WILL SURPASS 80 DEGREES. FAIRBANKS RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE IN JEOPARDY AS
WELL AS MANY OTHERS. DESPITE HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...LONGER
NIGHTS SHOULD KEEP VALLEYS PLEASANT...ALTHOUGH RESIDENTS ON
HILLTOPS MAY SUFFER FROM POOR SLEEPING WEATHER...DUE TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES AT THE TOP OF THE INVERSION. THE WILD CARD WILL BE
SMOKE. WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL UNDOUBTEDLY AGGRAVATE CURRENT
FIRES AND ANY INCREASE IN SMOKE INTENSITY COULD TRIM TEMPERATURES
AND PRESERVE CURRENT TEMPERATURE RECORDS.

EXTENDED...
RIDGE STILL IN PLACE THIS WEEKEND SHOULD CONTINUE TO ROAST THE
ALASKA INTERIOR...FAR WEST COAST AND ARCTIC COAST WILL SEE THE
ONLY RAIN CHANCES. NO SIGNS YET THE EMERGING PATTERN WILL CHANGE
TO SOMETHING MORE FAMILIAR FOR AUGUST.

.HYDRO...
THERE WILL BE NO HYDRO ISSUES TODAY AND MOST LIKELY THE REST OF
THE WEEK DUE TO THE EXTRA STRONG RIDGE IN THE INTERIOR AND MODEST
RAIN PRODUCERS AT BEST ALONG THE COASTS. HOWEVER...IF RIDGE IS
STILL WITH US NEXT WEEK...AND IT MAY BE...STRESSED GLACIERS COULD
SEND MELTWATERS DOWN NEXT WEEK CAUSING STREAM LEVEL RISES IN THE
VALLEYS.

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRYING IN THE INTERIOR HAS ALREADY STARTED...WARMING WILL START
TODAY OVER MOST AREAS. MID AND UPPER 80S OVER SOME POINTS IN THE
INTERIOR NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION BY MID WEEK. THE REAL PROBLEM
WILL BE PERSISTENCE OF RIDGE. MIDRANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
KEEPING RIDGE IN PLACE THROUGH WEEKEND. OMEGA PATTERNS ARE
DIFFICULT TO BREAK. BEST NEWS IS THAT CLIMATOLOGY SHOULD BE TRYING
TO END FIRE SEASON...HOWEVER...NOT ENOUGH TO COUNTERACT RIDGE FROM
EXTENDING IT.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING......201 TODAY
         SURF ADVISORY..........207 TODAY AND TONIGHT
MARINE...GALE WARNING...........210...220 TODAY
                                225 TODAY AND TONIGHT
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...200 TODAY
                                210...220...230...235 TONIGHT
HYDRO....NONE
FIRE.....NONE

JWA AUG 05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
952 AM ADT MON AUG 08 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE LISBURNE           68.88N 166.11W
08/08/2005  51 MPH                              AK   AWOS

            1822G44 KNOTS

&&

DA