Storm Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 172234
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-181345-
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 960 MB LOW NEAR DALL POINT WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN NORTON SOUND
TONIGHT WEAKENING TO 970 MB. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO KOTZEBUE SOUND
TUESDAY MORNING AND WEAKEN TO 975 MB WHEN IT REACHES POINT HOPE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE SOUTHEAST OF WRANGEL
ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW AT 980 MB WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA ON TUESDAY AND STRENGTHEN TO 975 MB AS IT
REACHES NORTON SOUND ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO THE BERING STRAIT ON WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ200-181345-
NORTON SOUND-
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT 
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-181345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...NW WINDS 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-181345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SNOW. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-181345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
234 PM ADT MON OCT 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

RF/JWA OCT 05

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
238 PM ADT SUN OCT 16 2005

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR...TROUGH ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL BE ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH
OF THE ARCTIC COAST ON MONDAY THEN ABOUT 400 MILES NORTH ON
TUESDAY. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL SWEEP EASTWARD FROM THE BERING SEA
AND WILL EXTEND FROM EASTERN RUSSIA TO A CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE
CHUKCHI SEA TO THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHEAST INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ON WEDNESDAY THE TROUGH WILL BE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE STATE.

SURFACE...A 989 MB LOW 1000 MILES EAST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE EAST
INTO CANADA TONIGHT. A WEAKENING FRONT MOVING EAST OF THE SOUNDS
WILL STALL OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR TONIGHT. A BERING SEA LOW
MOVING EAST WILL BE 970 MB OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH AND BE 980 MB NEAR CAPE LISBURNE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE INTERIOR
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL BE OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

NORTH SLOPE...WINDS WILL BE MODERATE OR BRISK THROUGH TUESDAY AS
PRESSURE CONTINUES LOW OVER THE INTERIOR AND HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC
OCEAN. FLURRIES...FOG...AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST.

WEST COAST...LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST OVER THE BERING SEA TO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AND MONDAY WILL CAUSE LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS AND CHANCES OF RAIN OR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. AFTER THE LOW
MOVES OFF TO THE NORTH...COLDER AIR WILL COME IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST.

INTERIOR...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING WARMER AND MOIST AIR TO MUCH OF
THE INTERIOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY. MOST OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR WILL
HAVE PRECIPITATION BLOCKED BY THE ALASKA RANGE. COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES NORTHEAST
OVER THE INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER CHINOOK WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ219.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ209.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ212-AKZ215.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ240.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.
&&

DA OCT 05