Gale Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 051534 CCA
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-060300-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A 1004 MB LOW NORTH OF WALES WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH AS IT MOVES
EAST TO LIE FROM FORT YUKON TO DENALI PARK AT 3PM WED. A WARM FRONT
OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH TO BE OVER SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
AND SOUTHERN NORTON SOUND WED AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE
NORTH TO LIE FROM POINT HOPE WEST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA AND SOUTHEAST
OVER THE KOBUK VALLEY AT 3AM THU.

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-060300-
NORTON SOUND-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-060300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ENDING
AFTER NOON.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-060300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT.
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-060300-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 40 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-060300-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SNOW AND AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 40 KT. GUSTS 70 KT NEAR CAPE LISBURNE. SNOW AND 
BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. GUSTS 60 KT NEAR CAPE LISBURNE.
BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-060300-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...W WINDS 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...W WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$
RT/ JAN 05

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 060008
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-061500-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A WARM FRONT OVER THE BERING STRAIT WILL MOVE NORTH TO BE LOCATED
OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA BY 3 AM THU. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE
NORTHEAST AND BE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COASTAL WATERS
BY 3 AM FRI. A 1048 MB HIGH OVER COLD BAY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND
STRENGTHEN TO 1056 MB BY 3PM FRI. 

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-061500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-061500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THU...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY IN THE
MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-061500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING THU...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...S WINDS 50 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-061500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING THU...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...S WINDS 50 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 40 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-061500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT NEAR CAPE LISBURNE...
...STORM WARNING THU NEAR CAPE LISBURNE...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR
CAPE LISBURNE WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT EXCEPT SW WINDS 55 KT NEAR CAPE LISBURNE
WITH BLOWING SNOW. PATCHY FOG. SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT EXCEPT SW WINDS TO 55 KT NEAR CAPE
LISBURNE. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT EXCEPT SW TO 45 KT NEAR CAPE LISBURNE.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW THEN RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-061500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THU...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.FRI...W WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...W WINDS 40 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

ABE

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 061250
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070300-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
1052 MB HIGH OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST 10 KT AND VERY
SLOWLY WEAKEN. 988 MB LOW 500 NM WEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE NORTH AND
RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO BE A 1014 MB CENTER JUST WEST OF ANADYR AT 6 AM
FRI.

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-070300-
NORTON SOUND-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-070300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-070300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-070300-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-070300-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-070300-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...W WINDS 45 KT. EXTENSIVE BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 45 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$
RT/ JAN 05

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM AST TUE JAN 4 2005

.DISCUSSION...A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA. W-LY TO SW-LY FLOW ALOFT IS MOVING A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES OVER THE STATE AS THE STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
THAT HAD EXTENDED N-WARD OVER EASTERN MAINLAND ALASKA IS
TEMPORARILY FLATTENED TO THE SOUTH. THE COMBINATION OF AMPLE
MOISTURE AND BROAD W-LY FLOW HAS BROUGHT A GOOD SNOWFALL TO MANY
AREAS OF INTERIOR ALASKA OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR WITH LESSER AMOUNTS BEING REPORTED ACROSS THE EASTERN
INTERIOR.

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC IS GENERATING STRONG W-LY
WINDS AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST. PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE BEING OBSERVED OVER THE WEST COAST AHEAD
OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL BRING MORE SNOW TO THE REGION
TONIGHT AND WED. THIS NEW SHORTWAVE WILL THEN BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR ON WED
AND WED NIGHT AFTER A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE SNOWFALL TONIGHT. THE
STRONG WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH WED BEFORE DIMINISHING WED NIGHT AS THE LOW CENTER TO THE
NORTH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. TEMPS REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL OVER
ALL OF MAINLAND ALASKA WITH +20F OR HIGHER TEMPS BEING REPORTED AT
MANY LOCATIONS.

MODEL OUTPUT THEN IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN FORECASTING A PATTERN
CHANGE BEGINNING ON WED NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. A
STRONG WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED E-WARD AND N-WARD OVER THE STATE ON
WED NIGHT AND THURS. AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT, YET ANOTHER AREA OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE E-WARD ACROSS THE STATE WITH A LEAST A
FEW INCHES OF SNOW LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS THE INTERIOR. BEHIND THIS
WARM FRONT, VERY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
SLOWLY N-WARD ACROSS THE STATE THU THROUGH SAT. 500 MB HEIGHTS ARE
FORECAST BY ALL THE MODELS TO RISE TO AS HIGH AS 586 DM OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THU NIGHT AND FRI, THEN REMAIN NEAR THESE VALUES
INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE 500 MB HEIGHTS ARE JUST ABOUT AS HIGH AS
WE SAW DURING THE HOTTEST DAYS OF LAST SUMMER STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BUILD N-WARD OVER THE
STATE UNDERNEATH THE RIDGING ALOFT, ENDING THE SNOW AND BRINGING
OF CLEARING OF THE CLOUD COVER FROM WEST TO EAST ON THU NIGHT AND
FRI ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF MAINLAND ALASKA.

ONCE THE SKIES CLEAR, SOME VERY STRONG INVERSIONS SHOULD DEVELOP
IN THE VALLEYS OF THE INTERIOR WITH VERY WARM AIR ALOFT KEEPING
TEMPS OVER THE HILLTOPS QUITE WARM. ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG W-LY
WINDS, CLOUDS, AND SNOW OVER THE ARCTIC ZONES IS BEING FORECAST BY
ALL THE MODELS ON THU NIGHT AND FRI AS ANOTHER LOW CENTER MOVES
E-WARD OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC. A COOLING TREND IS POSSIBLE FROM SUN
ONWARD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS
FLATTENED BACK TO THE SOUTH BY A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WX ADVY 202...203...224 222...223...225 THIS
EVENING. WINTER STORM WARNING 205 THIS EVENING. WINTER STORM
WARNING 224...225...226 TONIGHT.
MARINE...BRSK 9A...10B...11A AND 11B. GALE AND HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY WRNG 9B TONIGHT/WED.

MP JAN 05