Brisk Wind Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 072356
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-081500-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A 1007 MB LOW 200 MILES NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO BANKS
ISLAND SUN MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE EAST. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST AND BERING STRAIT SAT.

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-081500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN 
THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-081500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SAT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SAT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY LATE IN THE 
AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-081500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-081500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SAT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-081500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SAT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW THEN SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-081500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 PM AST FRI JAN 7 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SAT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 081238
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-090300-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A 1036 MB HIGH OVER NORTON SOUND WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA BY SUN MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT 200 NM WEST OF BARROW
WILL BE NEAR KAKTOVIK BY SAT EVENING THEN MOVE OVER THE MAINLAND
BY SUN MORNING.

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-090300-
NORTON SOUND-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-090300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. BLOWING SNOW IN THE 
EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-090300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-090300-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW AND AREAS
OF FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-090300-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-090300-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 AM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...
...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
WINDS STRONGEST EAST OF FLAXMAN ISLAND. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 55 KT DECREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
STRONGEST EAST OF FLAXMAN ISLAND. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...W WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

000 
FZAK59 PAFG 082318
CWFAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091500-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.SYNOPSIS FOR WESTERN ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA
AND WESTERN ALASKA THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE INTO CANADA BY SUNDAY
MORNING. 

$$

AREA 9A
PKZ290-091500-
NORTON SOUND-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS ICE
FREE AREAS TO 3 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 3 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 3 FT WITH HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS THEN 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 9B
PKZ295-091500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUN...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SAT NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS TO 25 KT. WINDS LOCALLY 35 KT NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 6 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS ICE FREE AREAS 8 FT WITH HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

AREA 10A
PKZ200-091500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. GUSTS 30 KT EARLY SAT EVENING 
WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 10B
PKZ205-091500-
WALES TO CAPE LISBURNE-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. GUSTS 30 KT SOUTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN
EARLY THIS EVENING WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

AREA 11A
PKZ210-091500-
CAPE LISBURNE TO CAPE HALKETT-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUN...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

AREA 11B
PKZ215-091500-
CAPE HALKETT TO DEMARCATION POINT-
400 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUN...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...W WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. WINDS STRONGEST EAST OF FLAXMAN
ISLAND. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
230 PM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT THAT WOULD BE IMPRESSIVE
INDEED EVEN IN THE SUMMER MONTHS HAS NOW ESTABLISHED ITSELF OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER IN THE
WEATHER OVER ALASKA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE WARM FRONT THAT
MARKS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE WARMEST AIR HAS NOW REACHED AT LINE
FROM JUST EAST OF BARROW TO EAGLE...THEN TO NEAR TOK. THIS FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO CANADA LATE TONIGHT...PUSHING
ITS ASSOCIATED SNOWS OUT OF THE STATE.

BEHIND THE FRONT...MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW
AND DRIZZLE ARE BEING REPORTED OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST
COAST WITH TEMPS IN THE 30S OVER MANY AREAS. THE STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS THAT HAVE BROUGHT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE BUILD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE REGION. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
AND VERY WARM TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER MOST OF WESTERN
AND INTERIOR ALASKA THROUGH SAT AS 500 MB HEIGHTS REMAIN AT VERY
HIGH LEVELS.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH BROOKS RANGE PASSES
AND ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH AT LEAST FRI MORNING DUE TO
CONTINUATION OF THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC. THESE
STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST SAT AS A NEW
LOW CENTER THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE HIGH
ARCTIC FRI AND SAT WILL REINFORCE THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER THE REGION.

IT LOOKS LIKE THAT A MAJOR CHANGE TO COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SAT AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK OVER ALL OF NORTHERN
ALASKA. ALL MODEL OUTPUT NOW IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN MOVING A VERY
SHARP COLD FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA ON SAT AND
SAT NIGHT...THEN OVER THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUN AS THE
VERY STRONG RIDGE IS PUSHED BACK TO THE SOUTH. ALONG AND JUST
BEHIND THE FRONT...THERE WILL BE LIKELY OF SHORT PERIOD OF SNOW
AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEFORE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
BEHIND THE FRONT CLEARS THE SKIES AND DIMINISHES THE WINDS. TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO OVER ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA
BY SUN WITH TEMPS FALLING TO THE -20 TO -40 RANGE BY SUN NIGHT AND
MON. MODEL OUTPUT THEN KEEPS ALL OF MAINLAND ALASKA IN A COLD
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

.AFG WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WRNG 205 AND 206 THROUGH 11AM FRI. WINTER
STORM WATCH 203 AND 204 FRI NIGHT. WINTER WEATHER ADVY TONIGHT
201...203...204...219...220...222.
MARINE...SCA/BRSK TONIGHT/FRI 9B...10A...10B...11A.

MP JAN 05