Storm Warning 206, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 061837 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
930 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

UPDATED AREAS 130 132 138 140 AND 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1001 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR WILL MOVE TO
50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING SUNDAY EVENING AS 984 MB AND REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW THIS MORNING. WINDS INCREASING TO
W 35 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
N 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT THIS MORNING. WINDS INCREASING AGAIN TO N 20
KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT
THIS MORNING. WINDS INCREASING TO W 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
930 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
930 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KTS THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
930 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF ANCHOR
POINT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
930 AM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KTS DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 070005
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE ONSHORE
NEAR YAKUTAT MON AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW DEVELOPING 150 NM SOUTH OF
SITKINAK MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF SITKINAK AND
STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-071500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT NEAR GORE POINT.
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-071500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR NORTHERN BAYS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR NORTHERN BAYS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-071500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-071500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 6 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST SAT NOV 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...BIGGEST WEATHER ISSUE TODAY CONTINUES TO BE STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. WINDS TO 70 MPH IN THE
VALDEZ AREA WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE LOW SOUTH OF YAKUTAT
WEAKENS AND MOVES TOWARD THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS. STRONG WINDS IN
THE KODIAK AREA WILL ALSO DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING FOR THE SAME
REASON.

THE 250 MB JET STREAM CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
STATE. AN UPCOMING CHANGE TO THIS IS THAT A JET COUPLET WILL DEVELOP
TONIGHT THAT STRETCHES FROM EASTERN RUSSIA TO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF
ALASKA. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS JET STREAK IS WILL BE A FAST MOVING
SURFACE LOW THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE
MAINLAND TONIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA SUNDAY MORNING.

THIS RAPIDLY MOVING SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF MAINLAND ALASKA TONIGHT AND INTO THE KENAI PENINSULA BY
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

THE OTHER BIG ITEM OF INTEREST WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THAT ONCE IT MOVES
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA IT WILL INTENSIFY AND BRING STRONG WINDS INTO
THE NORTH GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLANDS AREAS SUNDAY.

A 995 MB LOW SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE SOUTH OF ATTU AND STRENGTHEN
TO AROUND 988 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN STRENGTHEN SOME
MORE TO AROUND 978 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT STORM AND GALE FORCE
WINDS TO COVER MOST OF THE BERING SEA MONDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT MARINE PACKAGE.

NOV 05