Small Craft Advisory 934, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 140014 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

CORRECTED ZONE 132

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 700 NM MILES SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 50 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN TO 996 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT NORTHWEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 7 FT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS .
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 141250
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 380 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 120 NM WEST OF
YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN TO 1000 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND LOW AT 989
MB WILL DEVELOP 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT ON TUESDAY AND
STRENGTHEN TO 980 MB AS IT MOVES TO 100 MILES EAST OF SAND POINT
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  
$$

PKZ130-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-150300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 14 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AST SUN NOV 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...
IT APPEARS THE MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO TREND TOWARD A SOLUTION
THOUGH THERE ARE SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THEM. GFS
APPEARS TO HAVE THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SOLUTION THOUGH THERE ARE
STILL SOME DOUBT THE ANY ONE MODEL HAS THE RIGHT SOLUTION. CONFIDENCE
IN THE MODELS ARE MODERATE TO LOW.

UPPER AIR...THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT WEST INTO THE NORTHERN SEA OF OHKOTSK THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
UPPER LOWS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL BEGIN TO MERGE AND WEAKEN
SOUTH OF ADAK TUESDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD OUT OF AN
STRONG LOW OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN THROUGH WESTERN ALASKA AND THE
SOUTHEAST BERING SEA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND WILL MERGE WITH THE
LOWS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THIS DEVELOPING CONFIGURATION WILL BRING
CLOUDS AND WEATHER BACK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA BY TUESDAY.

AT THE SURFACE...THE MODERATE LOW 650 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MONDAY NIGHT AND WILL MOVE
ONSHORE NEAR YAKUTAT TUESDAY EVENING. THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT THEN WEAK AS IT MOVED INLAND
TUESDAY.

ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS MONDAY WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL SWING
NORTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUESDAY
AND MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND
INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL INTERIOR WEDNESDAY.

COLD ADVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL INCREASE
THE WINDS TO GALE FORCE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120, 132, 170, 172, 175
FIRE WEATHER...

NM NOV 05