Small Craft Advisory 822, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
410 AM ADT WED OCT 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHCENTRAL...THE REMNANTS OF A LOW IN THE NORTH GULF WILL DISSIPATE
THIS EVENING BUT SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE COPPER RIVER AND ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST FOR MOST OF THE DAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL FORM NEAR
SEWARD TO KEEP THE SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT.
OTHERWISE MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY MORNING. EXPECT SOME RADIATION
FOG TO DEVELOP ON THE KENAI AND IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL THIS MORNING.

SOUTHWEST...A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS NOT KEEPING THE CLOUDS
FROM ROLLING IN. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL VORT MAXES WILL MOVE UNDER
THE RIDGE AND OVER THE MAINLAND. THIS WILL KEEP THINGS PRETTY
CONVECTIVE TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING
FROM THE PRIBILOFS TO MCGRATH. THE GROWING SNOWPACK IN THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY IS STARTING TO ENHANCE THE COLD AIR RETENTION IN THE
AREA..MORE THAN THE MODELS ARE INDICATING AT THIS TIME. THIS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO A LOT OF FLURRIES BUT LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION
OVER THE NEXT WEEK.

A LOW MOVING OFF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TODAY WILL MOVE INTO THE
BERING BY TOMORROW AND SPLIT. PART OF THIS LOW WILL MERGE WITH A VERY
STRONG DEVELOPING LOW FAR SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. WILL NEED TO LOOK
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST ISSUING A WATCH FOR HIGH WINDS BY
TOMORROW NIGHT FOR ZONES 185 AND 181 AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES TO THE
SOUTH OF THEM. LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE FORECASTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF
60 KT ACROSS THE AREA FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RNW OCT 05