Small Craft Advisory 795, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
135 PM ADT MON OCT 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING UPPER LOW OVER SRN COOK INLET CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE
SHOWERS NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE GULF INTO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND ACROSS THE KENAI PEN TO PAHO-PAIL AND PORT ALSWORTH TODAY. LIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE AT THESE LOCATIONS INTO TUE MORNING.
ELSEWHERE LOOK FOR AREAS OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOME SUN DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

ETA GFS UKMET IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HRS OR SO.
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO CONTINUE ON ITS DUE EAST COURSE
INTO TUE NIGHT THEN REDEVELOP NORTHWEST WITH A 985 MB CENTER MOVING
TO AFOGNAK ISLE WED AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INCREASE ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST TUE CONTINUING AND BECOMING HEAVIER WED AND WED
NIGHT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL EVEN DEVELOP IN BRISTOL BAY TUE NIGHT
AND WED.

INCREASING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL NUDGE SOME WARMER AIR NORTH
ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINLAND RESULTING IN SNOWFALL LEVELS STAYING UP
AROUND 1-2K. KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THU. GFS BRINGS RAIN..WHICH COULD START OUT AS SNOW..BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER BERING SEA LOW APPROACHES
THE PRIBILOFS.

NEXT UPSTREAM STORM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SPREAD GALES AND
MORE RAIN EAST TO THE FOX AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT THEN OVER TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE MORNING WITH COLD BAY POSSIBLE SEEING GUSTS
OVER 50 MPH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE AREAS
120..155..160..165..180..170..172..175..176..185..179

PERCY OCT 05