Storm Warning 167, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 041441 AAA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

UPDATED ZONES 170 AND 171

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING BECOMES A 981 MB LOW
TUE AFTERNOON 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL. THIS LOW WEAKENS TO 986
MB WED AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AND
THEN MERGES WED EVENING WITH A 989 MB LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND. A
WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WED MORNING THROUGH
WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-050200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-050200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-050200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-050200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-050200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050200-
UNALASKA BAY
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT RISING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 20 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-050200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-050200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-050200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 042318
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 978 MB LOW 165 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL WEAKEN TO 984 MB
AND MOVE TO 155 NM EAST OF COLD BAY WED AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING LOW 
650 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WITH A
985 MB CENTER THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-051400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW WIND 40 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 23 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-051400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-051400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-051400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT OVERNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-051400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-051400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-051400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DECREASING NE WIND 30 KT LATE TONIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
135 PM ADT MON OCT 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING UPPER LOW OVER SRN COOK INLET CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE
SHOWERS NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE GULF INTO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND ACROSS THE KENAI PEN TO PAHO-PAIL AND PORT ALSWORTH TODAY. LIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE AT THESE LOCATIONS INTO TUE MORNING.
ELSEWHERE LOOK FOR AREAS OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOME SUN DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

ETA GFS UKMET IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HRS OR SO.
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO CONTINUE ON ITS DUE EAST COURSE
INTO TUE NIGHT THEN REDEVELOP NORTHWEST WITH A 985 MB CENTER MOVING
TO AFOGNAK ISLE WED AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INCREASE ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST TUE CONTINUING AND BECOMING HEAVIER WED AND WED
NIGHT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL EVEN DEVELOP IN BRISTOL BAY TUE NIGHT
AND WED.

INCREASING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL NUDGE SOME WARMER AIR NORTH
ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINLAND RESULTING IN SNOWFALL LEVELS STAYING UP
AROUND 1-2K. KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THU. GFS BRINGS RAIN..WHICH COULD START OUT AS SNOW..BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER BERING SEA LOW APPROACHES
THE PRIBILOFS.

NEXT UPSTREAM STORM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SPREAD GALES AND
MORE RAIN EAST TO THE FOX AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT THEN OVER TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE MORNING WITH COLD BAY POSSIBLE SEEING GUSTS
OVER 50 MPH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE AREAS
120..155..160..165..180..170..172..175..176..185..179

PERCY OCT 05