Small Craft Advisory 784, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 011225 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

UPDATE TO AREA 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 993 MB LOW NEAR SEWARD WILL WEAKEN TO 1002 MB AND MOVE
300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY EVENING.  BY SUNDAY
EVENING THE LOW MOVES TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS AND DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ120-020200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020200-
RESURRECTION BAY
430 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING N 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-020200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-020200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 011813 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1015 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

AMENDED AREA 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 993 MB LOW NEAR SEWARD WILL WEAKEN TO 1002 MB AND MOVE
300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND BY SATURDAY EVENING.  BY SUNDAY
EVENING THE LOW MOVES TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS AND DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ120-020200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020200-
RESURRECTION BAY
430 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING N 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-020200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1015 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-020200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 012314
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE AS IT 
MOVES TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS SUN NIGHT. A PACIFIC LOW 
WILL MOVE TO 240 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK MON AFTERNOON AT 988 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-021400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-021400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-021400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-021400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-021400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUN NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. OCCASIONAL STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH 
KAMISHAK BAY. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. OCCASIONAL STRONGER GUSTS THROUGH KAMISHAK BAY.
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-021400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-021400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-021400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-021400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SAT OCT 1 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT FRI SEP 30 2005

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...
THE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH
TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUND AND WEAKEN. THE
MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA AND THIS WILL
SLOWLY DROP SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN ALASKA. ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL
ROTATE AROUND THIS MAIN CENTER INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT. A
WEAK LOW IS FORMING OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND THIS WILL MOVE SOUTH
IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE POLAR FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS
THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO THE LOW IN THE DELTA. WE EXPECT THE
COLD AIR TO REMAIN WEST OF THE RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERN
END OF THE POLAR FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN MOUNTAINS AND
KAMISHAK GAP TONIGHT AND THUS WE EXPECT THIS TO INDUCE SHOWERS ACROSS
THOSE REGIONS. THE MOISTURE NOW OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL IS
FALLING OUT AS SNOW OR RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. MORE
MOISTURE WILL ROTATE IN FROM THE NORTHEAST TO KEEP SHOWERS GOING
THROUGH SAT NIGHT THEN DRY OUT BY SUN.

A LOW 300 NM WEST OF THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOFS
LATE TONIGHT. AS IT DOES THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WILL DIMINISH. HE
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS UNALASKA LATE
TONIGHT RESULTING IN A GOOD SHOT OF SHOWERS. FOLLOWING THIS LOW A
WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA INCREASING THE
LIKELYHOOD OF FOG.

LONGER TERM...
BY SUN NIGHT THE UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN ALASKA DROPS INTO THE GULF.
THIS WILL RESULT INT HE SURFACE LOW DROPPING SOUTH AS WELL AND A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE
BERING SEA THEN WESTERN ALASKA. BY SUN AFTERNOON THE FLOW ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE DRIER NORTHERLY
FLOW.

THE NEXT STORM MOVING INTO THE PICTURE FOR THE ALEUTIANS IS A LOW NOW
WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. WE EXPECT THIS TO INTENSIFY TO AROUND
990 MB JUST SOUTH OF UNALASKA MON.

BEYOND MONDAY THE LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE FORECAST POSITION OF
THIS LOW IS HIGH AS THE MODELS HAVE MADE A MAJOR CHANGE FROM THE
PREVIOUS FEW CYCLES. CURRENTLY WE WILL MAINTAIN THE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE FOR DAYS 5 ON OUT UNTIL
THE MODELS SETTLE UPON A SOLUTION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...DONE.

SAM SEP 05