Small Craft Advisory 76, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 230742 AAA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1045 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

UDPATED AREA 8

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 952 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK MOVES TO 230 NM WEST OF ADAK AT
955 MB SUNDAY EVENING. THIS LOW THEN CONSOLIDATES WITH A SECONDARY
CENTER TO WEST AND FORMS ONE 959 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A 971 MB LOW MOVES TO 130 NM EAST OF ATKA MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ150-231500-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-231500-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-231500-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-231500-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-231500-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
1045 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-231500-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-231500-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-231500-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-231500-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-231500-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-231500-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-231500-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 231223 CCA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

CORRECTED AREA 15

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 955 MB LOW 290 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 190 NM WEST OF
ADAK MON NIGHT AT 969 MB. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP 175 NM SOUTHEAST
OF DUTCH HARBOR SUNDAY NIGHT AS 977 MB THEN DISSIPATE MON AFTERNOON.
A 980 MB LOW MOVES TO 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-240300-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-240300-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-240300-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ165-240300-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-240300-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ170-240300-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-240300-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-240300-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-240300-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-240300-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-240300-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-240300-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST SUN JAN 23 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. AREAS OF FREEZING
RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST SAT JAN 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...
.500MB...NCEP/UKMET PATTERNS SIMILAR AND FORECAST TRENDS REASONABLE.
CENTER OVER THE NORTH GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TENDS TO
LOSE ITS IDENTITY. RIDGE BUILDS IN RESPONSE TO INTENSIFYING LONG WAVE
OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA/NW PACIFIC AND SHIFTS EAST. BY
MON...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE 5390M CENTER OVER THE ANADYR GULF
TO THE PANHANDLE. LONG WAVE EXTENDS FROM 4910M CENTER OVER NE RUSSIA
TO A 4980M CENTER NEAR 46N 172E THIS MORNING. NORTHERN CENTER MOVES
TO OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK MON AFTERNOON. SOUTHERN CENTER INTENSIFIES
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN WEAKENS AND BECOMES QSTNRY NEAR 50N 174E
MON. TROUGH AXIS ELONGATES EAST FROM THIS CENTER AND EXTENDS
SOUTHEAST TO NEAR THE U.S. PACIFIC SEABOARD.

.SURFACE...THE GFS/UKMET MODELS INITIALIZED THE BEST ON 970 MB CENTER
SE OF KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING. SAT PIC INDICATES THAT STACKED
CENTER IS STARTING TO WEAKEN AND BECOMING QSTNRY. CENTER SHOULD HOLD
QSTNRY NEAR KODIAK THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE NORTHEAST AND
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. FORECAST PACKAGES IN THE EASTERN DOMAIN WILL
REFLECT THE ETA/MESO PRESSURE PATTERN WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE ADJUSTED
TOWARD THE GFS. EASTERLY FLOW IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS OVER THE
NORTH GULF IS KEEPING MOST OF THE PRECIP ALONG THE COAST AND SE
EXPOSURES OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. EXPECT AS CENTER  WEAKENS AND MID
LEVEL SLOWS SHIFT SOUTHEAST THAT PRECIP WILL MAKE MORE
HEADWAY(ALTHOUGH WEAK) INTO INLAND AREAS.

LOW COMPLEX SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY.
AGAIN...POSIT AND INTENSITY BASED ON SAT IMAGERY AND MODEL FORECASTS.
SO FAR GFS SEEMS REASONABLE. EXPECT MAIN 950S CENTER TO BOTTOM OUT
AROUND 950 MB EARLY SUN AM AS IT MOVES NEAR 48N 180. SEONDARY CENTER
ALREADY VISIBLE NORTH OF THIS CENTER MOVES TO NEAR SHEMYA SUN AM.
THESE CENTERS HOLD NEAR THE WEST AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH SOME
CONSOLIDATION AND WEAKENING INTO MON. TRIPLE POINT LOW...LOCATED NEAR
38N 169W AT 20Z TODAY...WILL INTENSIFY INTO THE 970S AND MOVE TO NEAR
PADU MON AM. GENERAL TROUGH AXIS CONTINUES TO ELONGATE EAST AS STRONG
EASTERLY JET ALOFT KICK OFF CENTERS ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXPECT
EAST TO SE GALE/STORM FORCE WINDS AS FRONTAL BROUNDARY MOVES ACROSS
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. FREEZING RAIN OVER EASTERN
BRISTOL BAY WILL DIMINISH WITH CAA THIS AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE LATEST UPDATE.

RMC JAN 05