Small Craft Advisory 662, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT MON AUG 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...
UKMET OVERALL INITIALIZED BEST AND HAD A REASONABLE 6 HR FORECAST
POSITION ON LOW IN THE EAST BERING SEA. EXPECT CENTER NEAR THE
PRIBILOFS WAS IN THE MID TO UPPER 980S AT 18Z. THAT WOULD BE 3 TO 5
MB AHEAD OF SCHEDULE. CURRENT TRACK SHOULD TAKE CENTER JUST SOUTH AND
EAST OF PAMY EARLY TUE AND TO EAST NORTON SOUND WED AM. EXPECT
GENERALLY GALES AHEAD AND BEHIND SYSTEM WITH SOME STORM FORCE WINDS
OVER BRISTOL BAY ON TUE. STRONG GAP WINDS LIKELY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA TUE. WINDS SHOULD DIMINSH TUE NIGHT AS LOW WEAKENS AND PUSHES
NORTH. WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH BERING SEA LOW MOVED BY KODIAK LATE
THIS MORNING AND SHOULD WILL BRING RAIN TO SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT MAIN FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA TUE MORNING THEN TO EAST GULF/ALCAN BOARDER TUE AFTERNOON.

OVERALL THIS LOW COMPLEX IS FAIRLY MOIST AND WILL TEND TO MINIMIZE
DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS TO LEE OF MOUNTAINS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. SO WOULD
STILL EXPECT TO SEE SOME RAIN IN THOSE TRADITIONALLY DRIER AREAS IN
SOUTHCENTRAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND WARNING COMING FOR ZONES 101 AND 125. NUMEROUS
         ADVISORIES.
MARINE...SEE LATEST FORECAST PACKAGE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC AUG 05