Small Craft Advisory 565, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 162312
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE EASTWARD 
AND THEN INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE LATE SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-171400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-171400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-171400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-171400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-171400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SAT JUL 16 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT FRI JUL 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SITTING OVER
THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS DUG
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. THIS PATTERN WILL PROGRESS WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW BECOMING CUT-OFF FROM THE TROUGH AND MOVING SLOWLY TO
THE EAST. THE LOW SHOULD DWELL JUST SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA BY
SUNDAY.

A THERMAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD INTO THE INTERIOR BY SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ALL BE CONFINED TO
THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE FOX CREEK FIRE...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF TUSTUMENA LAKE ON THE
KENAI PENINSULA...IS SENDING A THICK PLUME OF SMOKE OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND ANCHORAGE BOWL. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE IN THE
ANCHORAGE AREA SATURDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS MOVE THE SMOKE AWAY FROM
THE CITY. ON THE KENAI PENINSULA SATURDAY...SMOKE WILL DECREASE ON
THE NORTHERN END OF THE PENINSULA...BUT INCREASE ON THE SOUTHERN END
OF THE PENINSULA WITH THE CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ JUL 05