Small Craft Advisory 564, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT FRI JUL 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SITTING OVER
THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS DUG
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. THIS PATTERN WILL PROGRESS WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW BECOMING CUT-OFF FROM THE TROUGH AND MOVING SLOWLY TO
THE EAST. THE LOW SHOULD DWELL JUST SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA BY
SUNDAY.

A THERMAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD INTO THE INTERIOR BY SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ALL BE CONFINED TO
THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE FOX CREEK FIRE...ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF TUSTUMENA LAKE ON THE
KENAI PENINSULA...IS SENDING A THICK PLUME OF SMOKE OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND ANCHORAGE BOWL. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE IN THE
ANCHORAGE AREA SATURDAY AS EASTERLY WINDS MOVE THE SMOKE AWAY FROM
THE CITY. ON THE KENAI PENINSULA SATURDAY...SMOKE WILL DECREASE ON
THE NORTHERN END OF THE PENINSULA...BUT INCREASE ON THE SOUTHERN END
OF THE PENINSULA WITH THE CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ JUL 05