Small Craft Advisory 474, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 100133 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
535 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

AMENDS AREA 2B

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MOVES TO 240 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 999 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-101400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
535 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR CAPE HINCHENBROOK. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-101400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING N 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-101400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-101400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-101400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-101400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-101400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-101400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-101400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 101202
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE TO 400 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA SAT NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 1010 MB. A 996 MB LOW 100 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-110200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-110200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-110200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-110200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-110200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-110200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-110200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI JUN 10 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM ADT THU JUN 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS REASONABLE. FORECAST TREND BEST
HANDLED BY GFS.

UPPER AIR...BROAD EAST/WEST LOW COMPLEX EXTENDING FROM CENTER OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE GULF OF THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. COMPLEX BECOMES
CUT OFF OVER THE GULF AS RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE MAINLAND. LOW
AMPLITUDE RIDGE HANGS OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS PORTION OF RIDGE ALIGNS WITH MAINLAND HIGH
AS LOW OVER KAMCHATKA STRENGTHENS AND SHIFTS EAST SUN.

SURFACE...WEAKENING LOW CENTER NEAR COLD BAY THIS AFTERNOON MERGES
WITH LOW COMPLEX OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. GULF COMPLEX
SLOWLY WEAKENS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MOIST MID LEVEL SE
FLOW OVER SOUTHCENTRAL/NORTH GULF SHIFTS EAST AND WEAKENS FRI.
THERMAL TROUGH OVER THE INTERIOR INTENSIFIES FRI AND SAT WITH WARMING
850 MB TEMPS. EXPECT AFTERNOON EVENING CONVECTION. BEST POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS SAT OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRI NIGHT AND SAT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JUN 05