Small Craft Advisory 43, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
1052 PM AST WED JAN 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...AFTER ONE MORE COLD NIGHT LOOK FOR GRADUAL WARMING WITH
MORE CLOUDS AND EVEN A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW THU NIGHT AND FRI..THEN
MOSTLY DRY WITH A SLOW UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND
AND BEYOND.

MORNING GFS MODEL TAKES UPPER RIDGE AXIS..NOW ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
COAST AND BUILDS IT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR AS COLD LOW OVER
NORTHWEST CANADA SLIDES OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. WITH UPPER LEVEL HIGH
CUTTING OFF OVER THE MAINLAND ON MONDAY PCPN WILL BE CONFINED TO
AREAS FROM KODIAK ISLAND AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST WESTWARD THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK THE HIGH RETREATS
NORTHWARD ENUF FOR THE GULF TO OPEN UP AND ALLOW SOME MIXED
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS.

BOTH GFS AND ETA SPRD CLOUDS AND LGT PCPN EAST NORTHEAST FROM BRISTOL
BAY LATE THU AND FRI AS A WEAK WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS MOSTLY ALOFT.

WEAK LOW IN THE GULF TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND BE NEAR MARINE
AREA 1B LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL REALIGN THE GRADIENT ALONG
THE GULF COAST AND LET THE COPPER RIVER OUTFLOW WINDS DIMINISH THIS
EVENING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING COPPER RIVER DELTA THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
MARINE...NONE.

PERCY JAN 05