Small Craft Advisory 148, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST TUE FEB 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING OUT THROUGH 48 HOURS
BUT THEY GO THERE SEPARATE WAYS AFTER THAT IN THE WESTERN AREAS AND
BERING SEA.  WE WENT THE GFS AFTER 48HRS.  WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE EAST THERE IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE MODELS.

FOR THE UPPER LEVEL THE ANCHOR LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
CONTINUES HOLD STRONG THROUGH THURSDAY. THE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
SECTION CONTINUES BUILDING WITH ITS AXIS TILTING WELL INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL BY SATURDAY.

AT THE SURFACE THE OLD LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA IS ROTATING TO
THE SOUTH AND WEST WHILE THE NEXT PLAYER A 969 MB LOW MOVES ACROSS
THE ALEUTIANS JUST WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR THIS MORNING. IT WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AN MOVE TO NEAR SAINT PAUL BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

BY THIS AFTERNOON THE OLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL WILL
BE OUT OF OUR AOR. HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTH AND EAST
SECTIONS OF THE COOPER RIVER ZONE THIS MORNING BUT FOR MOST OTHER
AREAS IN THE EAST WE CAN EXPECT DECREASING CLOUDS AND SOME SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE EASTERN AREAS. ALONG EASTERN GULF COAST RAIN AND SNOW
CONTINUES THIS MORNING BUT WILL BE CUTTING OFF BY AFTERNOON.

IN THE WEST ZONES RAIN AND RAIN GALES AND STROM FORCE WIND ARE
EXPECTED TODAY AS THE LOW MOVE ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE BERING
SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY

PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...185.
         HEAVY SNOW WARNING...141.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...5B 6B 12A.
         GALE WARNING...5A 6A  8 12A1 12B 13A 14 15.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...14.

KB FEB 05