Small Craft Advisory 1065, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME FOR THE NEXT 36 HRS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE MAINLAND AND THROUGH TO THE BERING UNTIL TUE
NIGHT. A STRONG RIDGE IN WESTERN CANADA AND CONUS WILL PUSH A LOW
INTO THE GULF TUE NIGHT. UKMET HAS COME INTO LINE WITH ETA ON THE
SPEED OF THE SYSTEM..MOVING IT A LITTLE MORE QUICKLY THAN THE GFS.
THE SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL CONTINUE THE RAIN FOR KODIAK
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE REST OF THE SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN MAINLAND. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPS ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR MUCH OF MAINLAND AK THROUGH MIDWEEK.

IN THE ALEUTIANS. A STRONG JET TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
IS KEEPING SYSTEMS FROM CROSSING OVER INTO THE BERING THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. SOME GALES ARE LIKELY ON THE PACIFIC SIDE WITH A
LOW SOUTH OF ATKA. HOWEVER WILL NEED TO WATCH THE EXTENDED FOR A
PROJECTED 942 MB LOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK. EVEN IF IT STAYS TO THE
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN.

OTHERWISE THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEMS THIS MORNING ARE THE FOG AND
STRATUS THAT WILL BE HIT OR MISS ACROSS MUCH OF AK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE MARINE PACKAGES.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RW DEC 05