Gale Warning 1075, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191334 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

CORRECTED ZONE 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A 966 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 20 SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 20 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD.
SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT.. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW SOUTH OF THE HEADLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 200023
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 968 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO 200 NM EAST OF
KODIAK WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN PRESSURE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 AM AST MON DEC 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME FOR THE NEXT 36 HRS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE MAINLAND AND THROUGH TO THE BERING UNTIL TUE
NIGHT. A STRONG RIDGE IN WESTERN CANADA AND CONUS WILL PUSH A LOW
INTO THE GULF TUE NIGHT. UKMET HAS COME INTO LINE WITH ETA ON THE
SPEED OF THE SYSTEM..MOVING IT A LITTLE MORE QUICKLY THAN THE GFS.
THE SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL CONTINUE THE RAIN FOR KODIAK
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE REST OF THE SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN MAINLAND. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPS ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR MUCH OF MAINLAND AK THROUGH MIDWEEK.

IN THE ALEUTIANS. A STRONG JET TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
IS KEEPING SYSTEMS FROM CROSSING OVER INTO THE BERING THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. SOME GALES ARE LIKELY ON THE PACIFIC SIDE WITH A
LOW SOUTH OF ATKA. HOWEVER WILL NEED TO WATCH THE EXTENDED FOR A
PROJECTED 942 MB LOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK. EVEN IF IT STAYS TO THE
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN.

OTHERWISE THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEMS THIS MORNING ARE THE FOG AND
STRATUS THAT WILL BE HIT OR MISS ACROSS MUCH OF AK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE MARINE PACKAGES.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RW DEC 05