Small Craft Advisory 1013, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 030740 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

AMENDED ZONE 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WEAKENS TO 1012 MB AND MOVES TO
50 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW
MOVES TO 70 NORTH OF COLD BAY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  
$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY LATE EVENING. STRONGER
WINDS TO 35 KTS OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
1030 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST FRI DEC 2 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS REASONABLE. FORECAST NCEP
SOLUTIONS VARY SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE ALEUTIANS. GFS AT THIS POINT
LOOKS THE MOST REASONABLE AND WILL BE USED IN FORECAST PACKAGES.

.EAST...LOW CENTER NEAR MONTAGUE ISLANDS IS SLOWLY TRACKING TOWARD
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH
TONIGHT. OVERRUNNING SNOW WILL INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
KENAI PENINSULA TO SUSITNA VALLEY. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF TONIGHT AS
BRUNT OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY TRACKS SOUTHEAST. SURFACE CENTER LIKELY
TO DROP SOUTH AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SAT/SUN. COLD TEMPS LIKELY TO
HOLD OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND SUSITNA VALLEY THROUGH SUN.
STRATUS AND FOG STILL AVIATION CONCERN OVER MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AS
INVERSIONS OVER THE REGION MAINTAIN THROUGH SAT.

.WEST...LIGHT SNOW OVER SW ALASKA WILL TRAPPER OFF TODAY AS UPPER
CENTER TRACKS SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENS. STRATUS/CU WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE BERING SEA THROUGH SUN. BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL INFLUENCE
THE WEATHER OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND AK PEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. EXACT POSITIONS AND TIMING ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT
BECAUSE OF SPREAD MODEL SOLUTIONS. GFS OVERALL LOOKS THE MOST
REASONABLE AND WILL BE USED WITH SOME CAUTION IN AFTERNOON FORECAST
PACKAGES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT PACKAGE.

RMC DEC 05