Gale Warning 737, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 232311
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
AND WEAKEN TO 994 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA FRI NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-241400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-241400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-241400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. STRONGER 
GUSTS NEAR THE GULF COAST. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-241400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-241400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE OF BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
NW OF BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-241400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-241400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-241400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-241400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI SEP 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT THU SEP 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...SYNOPTIC NCEP MODEL INITIALIZATIONS VERY GOOD. FORECAST
TRENDS SIMILAR AND REASONABLE.

.EAST...FRONTAL TROUGH WITH DEEP SW FLOW MOVES INTO SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
AFTERNOON AND TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN/EASTERN GULF TONIGHT.
PRESSURE GRADIENTS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND COPPER RIVER ARE PRODUCING
MODERATE GAP WINDS THROUGHOUT THE REGION. EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH
TONIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF FRONTAL TROUGH. PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WITH NEXT WAVE TO MOVE
INTO BRISTOL BAY FRI. MODELS TEND TO LOCK ONTO VORTICITY MAX IN UPPER
LEVELS WITH ONLY MINOR REFLECTION SHOWING UP AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT
WAVE TO MOVE INTO SW ALASKA FRI AFTERNOON. HIGH WIND WARNING
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS ANCHORAGE
BOWL ALONG WITH STRONG GAP WIND CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE AREA. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH SAT AS LOW WEAKENS OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR.

.WEST...UPPER 960S MB LOW NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WELL FORECAST BY
MODELS MOVES OVER NE RUSSIA TONIGHT. STRONG SW FLOW ON BACKSIDE OF
CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN BERING SEA WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH FRI.
COASTAL FLOOD POTENTIAL STILL LOOKS REASONABLE FROM CAPE NEWENHAM TO
DALL POINT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SURGES FORECAST TO BE A
COUPLE OF FEET ABOVE MAX ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS. MAX TIDES DIMINISH
FRI AS WELL AS THREAT. DEEP SW FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
OVER WESTERN ALASKA...SO LOW FOR PERIODS OF RAIN TO CONTINUE.
PROBABLY SEE SNOW LEVELS LOWERING ALONG MOUNTAINS AS 850 MB TEMPS
COOL SUN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FRI ZONE 101. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING ZONE 155
         AND 161.
MARINE...SEE LATEST PACKAGE.

RMC SEP 05