Gale Warning 723, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 171623 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

UPDATED ZONE 132

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB STORM FORCE LOW JUST OFF SAND POINT WILL DEVELOP TO 979 MB
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL AT 983 MB NEAR
YAKUTAT SUN AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY LOW AROUND 994 MB WILL REMAIN NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND INTO MONDAY.
$$

PKZ120-180200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-180200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. A FEW HIGHER GUSTS THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-180200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT BY
NOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
RAIN AND FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-180200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
AND FOG.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-180200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST
WIND E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT THIS
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-180200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
820 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT 
BUILDING TO 15 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-180200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT THIS MORNING. NE WIND 20 KT THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN TONIGHT.
SHOWERS SUNDAY. 
$$

PKZ140-180200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE MOSTLY WEST WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5
FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS SUNDAY. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-180200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS SUNDAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 172338
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 MB LOW 145 NM SE OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 75 NM S OF YAKUTAT BY
SUN AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 983 MB. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE YUKON
SUN NIGHT WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA.

$$

PKZ120-181400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT E WIND 15
KT WEST OF CAPE CLEARE. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT WEST OF CAPE CLEARE.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-181400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW WIND 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 10
FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-181400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SAT SEP 17 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181145
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB STORM FORCE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MAKE LANDFALL
NEAR CAPE SPENCER AT 986 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY LOW
AROUND 994 MB WILL DEVELOP NEAR CAPE HINCHINBROOK EARLY MONDAY. 
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. MORNING RAIN AND FOG.

.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO W 30 KT BY NOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. STRONGEST WIND SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. STRONGEST WIND SOUTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. AFTERNOON SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 15 KT BY NOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND FOG CHANGING TO SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 182307
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND SUN EVENING.
A 994 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 30 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA SUN NIGHT AND WILL
WEAKEN TO 1011 MB 60 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-191400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT FRI SEP 16 2005

.DISCUSSION...THREE SYSTEMS TO DEAL WITH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE FIRST SYSTEM IS THE OLD LOW THAT IS
SPINNING AROUND OVER ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. THIS LOW IN CURRENTLY
AROUND 980 MB AND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST
MAKING LANDFALL NEAR HOOPER BAY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN
DISSIPATE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE OCCLUSION ON THIS LOW IS WRAPPED AROUND THREE TIMES WITH THE
OUTERMOST BAND STRETCHING FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST DOWN TO THE
NORTH COAST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. A TRIPLE POINT LOW THAT DEVELOPED
ALONG THE FRONT IS NEAR SEWARD THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS THE SECOND
LOW OF INTEREST TODAY. THIS LOW IS CURRENTLY NEAR 999 MB AND WILL
WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE KENAI MOUNTAINS
INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY OVERNIGHT. IT STILL DOES HAVE SOME PUNCH AS
IT IS PRODUCING 40 KNOTS OF WIND AT MIDDLETON ISLAND AND ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON.

THE JET STREAM IS CURRENTLY RUNNING WEST TO EAST OVER THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. IT IS FROM THE ENERGY PROVIDED BY THIS JET THAT THE THIRD
SIGNIFICANT LOW IS DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD AND REACH THE WESTERN
GULF OF ALASKA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL ALSO INTENSIFY
AS IT GOES FROM 997 MB THIS AFTERNOON TO 983 MB BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN PROCEED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 100
MILES EAST OF CORDOVA ON SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL LIKELY BRING STORM
FORCE WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO THAT AREA.

THE NAM/GFS/UKMET/ECMF MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EACH
OTHER IN THE BIG PICTURE. THERE ARE TWO SUBTLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
THE NAM AND GFS THAT SHOULD BE ADDRESSED. THE LOW THAT WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST ON SUNDAY IS MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST ON
THE NAM THAT WHERE THE GFS HAS IT DOING SO. I PREFER THE NAM
SOLUTION DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW AND THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE PROJECTED STRENGTH OF THIS LOW HAS INCREASED
ON SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS AND THAT WOULD INDICATE A MORE LEFTWARD
MOVEMENT TO THE LOW.

THE OTHER ISSUE TO ADDRESS IS THE LOW NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE
NAM IS MOVING IT A LITTLE FASTER AND MORE TO THE SOUTH AS IT MAKES
LANDFALL ON SUNDAY MORNING. PREFER THE GFS SOLUTION WITH THE
MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 150 155 170 172 185.
         STORM 120.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ SEP 05