Gale Warning 533, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 131925 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1130 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

UPDATED AREA 4

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW 260 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY FRI AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE TO 200 NM SW OF KODIAK CITY SAT MORNING AND REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY.


$$

PKZ120-140200-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140200-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140200-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS INCREASING E TO NE 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140200-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140200-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING NE 25 KT THIS MORNING AND INCREASING TO 35 KT
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140200-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140200-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT..NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140200-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1130 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140200-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 132359
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR TOGIAK
SAT NIGHT. A 995 MB LOW SAT 550 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE TO
80 NM SOUTHWEST OF CORDOVA SUN AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-141400-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ121-141400-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141400-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-141400-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141400-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141400-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141400-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141400-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141400-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT THU MAY 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...

ON THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON MANY SMALL FEATURES MAKE UP THE BIG
PICTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTION OF THE ALASKAN SUBCONTINENT. A LOW
SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT OFF TO THE
WEST INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IS LOCATED
SOUTH OF 50N AND WILL MOVE UP INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. A TROUGH OF PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE INTERIOR
OF ALASKA WITH A RIDGE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS RIDGING THAT HAS BEEN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
THE LAST FEW DAYS CONTINUES TO MOVE BACK INTO CANADA AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA BUILDS IN AND STRENGTHENS. FOR THE INTERIOR
LOOK FOR CHANCES OF SHOWERS WITH EACH WAVE MOVING AROUND THE UPPER
LOW. LOOKS TO BE A RATHER WET PERIOD FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST AND
KODIAK ISLAND.

MODELS...THE GFS HOLDS THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH
THE NEXT 240 HOURS WITH ON-SHORE FLOW. THE ETA/UKMET HAVE VERY
SIMILIAR IDEAS AS THE GFS IN THE UPPER LEVELS. WE PREFER THE SLOWER
GFS TO THE ETA/UKMET. THE LOWS MOVING THE UPPER CENTER ARE MOVING
FASTER. WILL SIDE WITH THE GFS FOR THE OVERALL SOLUTION. NOT MUCH
CHANGE TODAY THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE TRENDS ON THE WEATHER PATTERN
FOR THE REGION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...120 130 138 150
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

PROTON MAY 05