Gale Warning 478, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 172320 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

CORRECTED AREA 3B

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW 360 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KODIAK AND WEAKEN TO 1003 TUE AFTERNOON. A 998 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP
260 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK SUN NIGHT AND WILL DISSIPATE NEAR PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-181400-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181400-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181400-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181400-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181400-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181400-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181400-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181400-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181400-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181130
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW NEAR 450 NM S OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SW OF
DUTCH HARBOR AND WEAKEN TO 1003 MB TUE NIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 230 NM SW
OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE NEAR VALDEZ MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-190200-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-190200-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-190200-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190200-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190200-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-190200-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190200-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-190200-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190200-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON APR 18 2005

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT SUN APR 17 2005

.DISCUSSION...

...HEMISPHERIC...
6 WAVE PATTERN WITH ANCHOR LOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH POLE. AOR IS
MOSTLY UNDER A TROUGH WITH -20 TEMPS AT 850 NEAR MCGRATH.

...AT THE SURFACE...
MAIN LOW IS OUT WEST SOUTH OF ADAK. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW
LARGE SECTION OF STATE IS NEARLY CLOUD FREE. TEMPERATURE RANGE IS
IMPRESSIVE TODAY RANGING FROM -20 UP TO +40 AT 4 AM. COLDEST AIR IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A RIDGE FROM SIBERIA.

...FOR THE FORECAST...
ALL MAIN MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVELS. ALL FOUR
KEEP ONE LOW OVER THE STATE AND ANOTHER IN AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. AT THE SURFACE ALL SOLUTIONS BRING THE 986 MB
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS EAST. GFS AND UKMET BOTH HAVE A LOW FORM
AHEAD OF THE LOW ALONG A TROUGH BY SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE THE MESOETA IS
SLOWER WITH THE TROUGH AND DOES NOT DEVELOP A LOW. PREFER THE
GFS/UKMET HANDLING OF THIS AND WOULD EXPECT A LOW TO DEVELOP IN
ADVANCE BY THIS POINT. COLD AIR NORTHWEST OF AOR WILL CONTINUE TO
SINK SOUTH AND EAST AS FAR AS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY.

...FURTHER OUT...
COOLER AIR REMAINS MOSTLY OVER THE WESTERN AOR WHILE WARMER AIR STAYS
TO THE EAST. 500 MB TROUGH REMAINS STUBBORN OVER WESTERN ALASKA FROM
BETHEL TO ADAK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 5B 6B 12A 12B 13A 13B 15
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 6A 15
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

BELL APR 05