Gale Warning 368, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171222
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL DRIFT TO 700 NM 
SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI NIGHT AT 998 MB. A FRONTAL SYSTEM 
EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS INTO 
THE BERING SEA THURSDAY AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WESTERN BERING FRIDAY.
$$

PKZ150-180300-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-180300-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180300-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW AND RAIN.

.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ170-180300-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE
FREE WATERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-180300-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST THU MAR 17 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRANSMISSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1045 AM AST WED MAR 16 2005

.DISCUSSION...SUNNY AND MILD WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE REST OF THIS WEEK THEN COOLER AND WINDIER WEATHER DEVELOPS OVER
THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

FRONT MOVING THRU THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING IS DRY BUT SNOW IS
FALLING ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE AS THE UPPER TROUGH
AXIS AND SWINGS THROUGH. THIS WILL END FROM THE WEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND. WITH THIS SURFACE HIGH
BUILDING OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY LOWER CLOUDS AND FOG WILL
DISSIPATE ACROSS THE DELTAS AND BRISTOL BAY DUE TO INCREASING
OFFSHORE FLOW. THAT SHOULD OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OTHERWISE, HIGH PRESSURE TO TAKE CONTROL OF THE ALASKA MAINLAND FOR
THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHICH WILL KEEP THE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND WEST.

STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
WHICH WILL ALLOW UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD IN STRONGLY OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA BY FRIDAY MORNING. AGAIN THIS CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN WINDY AND WET WEATHER FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA, PRIBILOF
ISLANDS AND ALEUTIANS WHILE EVERYONE EAST OF THOSE AREAS WILL SEE
MAXIMUM DAYTIME SUNSHINE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF
NEXT WEEK.

BLUSTERY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CHANNELED AREAS OF
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT AS THE HIGH
BUILDS INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. AT THIS POINT WIND GUSTS SHOULD
BE UNDER ADVISORY LEVEL (45 MPH). SATURDAY THE UPPER HIGH RETREATS TO
THE WEST COAST AND A NORTHERLY JET FORMS ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
RIDGE FROM THE ARCTIC SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF. THIS MEANS SURFACE
WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTS OF 60-65 MPH
POSSIBLE FOR THE MATANUSKA VALLEY, PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST. BLOWING DUST A GOOD BET FOR THE MATANUSKA VALLEY.

MODELS NOT VERY CONSISTENT FROM ONE RUN TO THE NEXT BEYOND 5 DAYS BUT
THE DRY, WINDY AND COLDER PATTERN WILL LIKELY HOLD INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE AREAS 5B..12A..12A1..12B..13A.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

PERCY MAR 05