Gale Warning 353, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 110008
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 968 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF ADAK AND
WEAKEN TO 979 MB FRI AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 100 NM NORTH OF THE
PRIBILOFS AND WEAKEN TO 1003 MB SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-111500-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-111500-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-111500-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-111500-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 INCREASING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-111500-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ170-111500-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-111500-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-111500-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EAST OF ATKA. N WIND 20 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT EAST OF ATKA. NW WIND 20 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-111500-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-111500-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-111500-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT IN ICE FREE WATER. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT IN ICE FREE WATER.  

$$

PKZ179-111500-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1230 PM AST WED MAR 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...

MODEL DISCUSSION...CONSENSUS IS GFS. MODEL KEEPS TONIGHTS IN COMING
GULF OF ALASKA STORM DEEPER AND MORE OF AN EASTERLY TRACK THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. GFS ALSO FINE FOR WESTERN FORECAST ZONES. GFS
BRINGS APPROPRIATE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO NORTH GULF OF ALASKA
MARINE AREAS WITH WINDS APPROACHING WARNING CRITERIA (74 MPH PLUS)
FOR NORTH GULF COASTAL PUBLIC ZONES.

UPPER LEVELS DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA GETS PUSHED
EAST OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY AS UPPER LOW SWINGS IN FROM THE GULF ON
THURSDAY. STRONG SOUTHERLY JET IN THE GULF ALSO MOVES EAST TO BE OVER
THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY. MAIN UPPER LOW PERSISTS NEAR THE ALEUTIANS
THROUGH 60HRS LEAVING THE MAINLAND UNDER A PREDOMINATELY STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW.  FREEZING LEVELS WILL REACH 2,000 TO 4,000 FEET
ACROSS THE EASTERN INTERIOR BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SURFACE DISCUSSION...CURRENT WEATHER PROBLEMS INCLUDE FREEZING RAIN
AT SAINT PAUL, SNOW AT ILIAMNA, AND GUSTY WINDS OVER WESTERN CAPES OF
BRISTOL BAY. HAVE UPDATED THESE PUBLIC ZONES ACCORDINGLY WITH
ADVISORIES. ALL THIS WEATHER IS FROM A LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING
SEA NEAR UNALASKA ISLAND. THIS LOW WILL MOVE WEST IN RESPONSE TO THE
STORM IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND WILL FINALLY SETTLE OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS AT 60HRS.

THE GULF STORM IS CURRENTLY ABOUT 550NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF LATE TONIGHT AND THEN INTO THE COOK INLET LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONG OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF
ALASKA..WITH STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THE MARINE AREAS AND
WIND ADVISORIES IN THE PUBLIC ZONES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG
AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH..SPECIFICALLY ALONG KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
NORTH GULF COAST. LOOK FOR A LEAST WIND ADVISORIES TO CONTINUE IN
THESE AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 2C 3B 3C 4A 5A 5B 6A 6B 12 14 BERING OFFSHORE
         STORM 3A 4
         HURRICANE FORCE 2B GULF OFFSHORE

JWP MAR 05