Gale Warning 342, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 070515 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

UPDATED FOR AREA 3A...

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 974 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF ADAK WILL DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT. A 972 MB
LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE 100 NM EAST OF ADAK MON
AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE TUE MORNING. A 959 MB LOW 900 NM SOUTH OF
COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-071500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-071500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-071500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-071500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-071500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
820 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-071500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO E 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ138-071500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO NE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MON NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO NE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN AND 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO N 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE
WATERS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO N 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-071500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO 
E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 071229
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 953 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 180 NM
WEST OF CHIGNIK AS A 967 MB LOW WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

PKZ120-080300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS AND PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E TO NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. HIGHEST SEAS BARREN ISLANDS
AND EAST. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. HIGHEST SEAS BARREN ISLANDS
AND EAST.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. HIGHEST SEAS BARREN ISLANDS EAST
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
TO 18 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE 25 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 7 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
200 PM AST SUN MAR 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA THROUGH
THE SEWARD PENINSULA TODAY. REX BLOCKING LOW REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN
ARIZONA WHICH IS HOLDING UP THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVELS IN
THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. ALEUTIAN UPPER LOW CONTINUES IN PLACE OVER
THE CENTRAL CHAIN. THROUGH THE 84 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THE REX BLOCK
WEAKENS OVER ARIZONA AND IS KICKED INTO THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS ON WEDNESDAY THIS WILL ALLOW THE ALEUTIAN LOW TO NUDGE
EASTWARD CHANGING THE COURSE THE SYSTEMS THAT HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING IN
THE STRONG JET ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC.

SURFACE...A 970 MB LOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA
OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT DRIFTS EAST. THE
NEXT OF THE SERIES OF NORTH PACIFIC LOWS THEN BEGINS TO ENTER THE
PICTURE MONDAY MORNING AS IT CROSSES 50N AND CONTINUES TRACK NORTH
ALONG 155W. THE BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST AND THE
DEPTH OF THIS LOW WILL SETUP AN EVEN STRONGER GRADIENT OVER THE
KODIAK ISLAND WATERS AND GULF OF ALASKA. WILL HAVE TO WATCH SHELIKOF
AND MATANUSKA GAP WIND AREAS FOR EARLY ON TUESDAY...ALONG WITH THE
NORTH GULF COAST FOR POSSIBLE WIND WARNING CONDITIONS.  UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE BERING SEA AND WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLAND IN
ACTIVE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MODELS...NAM MODEL HAD SOME PROBLEMS THIS MORNING WITH INITIALIZATION
PARAMETERS AS PER NCEP DISCUSSION WILL DISREGARD 12Z NAM OUTPUT
TODAY. GFS/UKMET OUTPUT BASICALLY THE SAME FROM 00HR-72HR WILL GO
WITH GFS FOR BASIC GUIDANCE TODAY ACROSS THE TWO FORECAST DOMAINS.
THE INTERIOR WILL SEE VERY SLOW CHANGES IN THE CURRENT WEATHER
PATTERN. MOST ACTIVE AREAS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST...KODIAK ISLAND...ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY COAST LINE
WITH WIND ADVISORY/POSSIBLE WARNING LEVEL WINDS.  FEEL AT THIS POINT
THE PAST TWO SYSTEM THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WERE RUNNING HOT THAT
PLAYING A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WOULD BE BEST AT THIS TIME FOR
MONDAY/S EVENT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE...121 125 140 141 155 160 165 180 185
      ...STORM...120 130 132 138 150
      ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

PROTON MAR 05