Gale Warning 329, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 021259
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 65 NM EAST
OF DUTCH HARBOR WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. A 965 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO
570 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WED NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO 400 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT THU NIGHT AT 957 MB.
$$

PKZ150-030300-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-030300-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  CASTLE
CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-030300-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-030300-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-030300-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 35 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-030300-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-030300-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-030300-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-030300-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-030300-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-030300-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.


$$

PKZ179-030300-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED MAR 2 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST TUE MAR 1 2005

.DISCUSSION...GFS MODEL OVERALL IS THE MOST CONSISTENT AND REASONABLE
AND WILL USED IN AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGES.

EAST...STRATUS OVER OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA IS FAIRLY EXTENSIVE. THIS
IS NOT PICKED UP WELL WITH ETA MOS. HOWEVER...ETA 1000-850MB MOISTURE
FIELD LOOKS REASONABLE. SAT PIC SHOWS STRATUS FIELD MOVING NORTH OVER
THE WESTERN GULF THIS MORNING. THIS TREND SHOULD HOLD THROUGH TONIGHT
AS SURFACE FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF BECOMES INCREASING SOUTHEAST.
EXPECT WEAK RIDGING TONIGHT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL SHOULD KEEP STRATUS AT
BAY WITH NORTHERN EXTENT ONLY TO BARREN ISLANDS/SOUTHERN COOK INLET.
PATCHY NIGHT/EARLY AM STRATUS/FOG LIKELY TO FORM OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE AGAIN WED AFTERNOON. PRESSURE
PATTERN OVER MUCH OF THE GULF SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK THROUGH
TONIGHT/WED. TRIPLE POINT CENTER FORMING ALONG TRAILING FRONT SOUTH
OF THE AK PEN TODAY MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THU
AFTERNOON AND BRINGS A SHOT OF RAIN AND SNOW. A 950S MB LOW MOVING TO
440 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK FRI AFTERNOON WILL BE THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT LOW
TO AFFECT THE REGION.

OUT WEST...NOT MUCH CHANGE OVER SOUTHWEST AK AS WEAK NORTHLY WINDS
CONTINUE OVER THE REGION. LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH
850-500MB TROUGH IS PRODUCING SOME LIGHT SNOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS OVER LARGE PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AK. MODELS TEND TO INCREASE
LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION OVER THE DAY OR SO..BUT
ANY SNOW SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT AS UPPER DYNAMICS ARE WEAK.
GALES OVER THE ALEUTIANS ASSOCIATED WITH 980S MB LOW SW OF PADU WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT AND WED AS CENTER MOVES EAST AND WEAKENS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 12B.

RMC MAR 05