Gale Warning 1030, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST MON DEC 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS OK AND FORECAST SOLUTIONS
REASONALBE IN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT.

WINDY WET AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE THE GENERAL RULE FOR THE
MAINLAND THROUGH THIS WEEK.

ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS MORNING EXTENDED FROM ALONG THE NORTHERN
BRISTOL BAY COAST(N-W OF PAKN)..SOUTHERN SOUTHERN KENAI PEN...TO
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
FRONT NORTH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN FOR MAINLAND AREAS WITH TRAPPED COLD
AIR UNTIL ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES NORTH. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT
SNOW AMOUNTS OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN TONIGHT AND TUE. HIGHER ELEVATIONS PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND LIKELY TO GET FAIRLY GOOD SNOW AMOUNTS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUE.
PRECIPITATION LOWER ELEVATIONS LIKELY SHIFTING TO RAIN OR MIXED BY
TUE AFTERNOON.

LOWER 990 MB CENTER CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE AK PEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
AK PEN TONIGHT AND TO OVER THE DELTA COAST TUE. EXPECT STRONG WINDS
OVER MUCH OF THE GULF AND GAP WINDS SOUTHCENTRAL STARTING TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO TUE AFTERNOON. MAJOR LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC MOVES TO JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WED AFTERNOON. PROB WILL
SEE HIGH WIND CONDITIONS ON BACKSIDE OF OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WED. HIGH WINDS CONDITIONS ALSO GOOD BET FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL WED AND THU.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 101. HEAVY SNOW WARNING ZONE 145.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT PACKAGE.

RMC DEC 05