Brisk Wind Advisory 17, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 061320 CCC
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

CORRECTED AREA 14

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 989 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NEAR DILLINGHAM THIS
AFTERNOON CONTINUE INLAND THIS EVENING. A 978 MB LOW 175 NM EAST OF
SHEMYA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA THU NIGHT
AS 995 MB. A 982 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL DISSIPATE THIS
AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 120 NM EAST OF DUTCH HARBOR THIS
EVENING AND MOVE TO 315 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AS 988 MB THU
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-070200-
AREA 5A. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO
CASTLE CAPE
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-070200-
AREA 5B. COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA  
CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-070200-
AREA 6A. BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3
FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-070200-
AREA 6B. PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-070200-
AREA 8. SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-070200-
AREA 12A. EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-070200-
AREA 12A1. UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-070200-
AREA 12B. EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-070200-
AREA 13A. WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-070200-
AREA 13B. WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-070200-
AREA 14. ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-070200-
AREA 15. PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT WED APR 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM ADT TUE APR 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS AND FORECAST TRENDS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT AND REASONABLE.

LOW COMPLEX OVER THE EASTERN GULF IS SLOWLY WEAKENING AND MAKING ITS
WAY TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND. EAST STORMS OVER THE NORTH GULF SHOULD
DIMINISH THROUGH THIS EVENING AS GRADIENTS RELAX SOME. EASTERLY FLOW
AT THE LOW AND MID LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT SHOULD KEEP GENERAL RAIN
SHADOW TO LEE OF MOUNTAINS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THE BRUNT OF
PRECIPITATION FALLING ALONG THE COASTS AND EAST/SE EXPOSURES. A WARM
TONGUE EVIDENT AT 850MB EXTENDS FROM YAKUTAT TO OVER THE KENAI PEN.
EXPECT EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD DRAW THIS AIR WEST. WEAKENING GULF
OCCLUSION SHOULD MOVE INTO THE LEE SIDE TROUGH FORMING OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY/BRISTOL BAY LATER TODAY/TONIGHT AND BRING IN SOME
SNOW. INITIAL THOUGHT IS THAT SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT
WITH THE HEAVIEST ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND EASTERN BRISTOL BAY.
WHATS LEFT OF THE FRONT EVENTUALLY MAKES ITS WAY TO THE DELTA LATE
WED. FRONT

970S MB LOW SOUTHEAST OF KAMCHATKA THIS MORNING SHOULD BE STACKED
WITH UPPER CENTER AND WEAKENING. EXPECT SECONDARY CENTER FORMING
ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT TO BECOME THE DOMINATE CENTER AS IT MOVES TO
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IN THE LOWER 980S WED. STRONG WESTERLY
JET..EVIDENT ON SAT IMAGERY AROUND 50N SHOULD CARRY PORTION OF FRONT
SOUTH OF THE CHAIN RAPIDLY EAST AND STRETCH FRONTAL ZONE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC APR 05