Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA...MESOSCALE UPDATE
808 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE ORGANIZED INTO A SHORT LINE ACROSS HASKELL AND
LATIMER COUNTIES.  A ROTATING COMMA HEAD EVOLVED EARLIER IN MCINTOSH
COUNTY AS THE CONVECTION INTENSIFIED.  HIGH RESOLUTION VILS SHOW AN
INTENSE CORE MOVING THROUGH HASKELL COUNTY...WITH BOTH A WIND AND
HAIL THEAT.

THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL POSE A SEVERE THREAT FOR THE NEXT 1 TO 2
HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD WESTERN ARKANSAS.  AT THIS TIME WE PLAN TO
CONTINUE WARNINGS EASTWARD FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT TIER OF COUNTIES.

FORECAST ID= 08

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
743 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
743 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING.  ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY
EXISTS FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.  WINDS TO 60 MPH AND
NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.  THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WITH
THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR A SEVERE STORM IN HASKELL...LATIMER...
PITTSBURG AND LE FLORE COUNTIES.  THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
LIKELY BE OVER BY LATE MORNING.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS SHOULD BE READY FOR ACTIVATION IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED IN YOUR AREA.  SEE SHORT TERM FORECASTS FOR DETAILS
CONCERNING THE PROGRESS OF THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA/SEVERE CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND
GRAPHICAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
404 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

OKZ075-076-101000-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
404 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     LE FLORE AND LATIMER

AT 404 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
NORTH OF BENGAL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENGAL...RED OAK...HODGEN...
SUMMERFIELD...HEAVENER...FANSHAWE...HOWE AND WISTER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
727 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

OKZ070-071-073-074-101330-
HASKELL OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
727 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN MUSKOGEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN MCINTOSH...HASKELL AND EASTERN PITTSBURG

AT 727 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF ONAPA TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST
OF ENTERPRISE TO BLOCKER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.