Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 17, 2004Okmulgee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 17, 2004, 7:32 PM CST for Okmulgee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 17, 2004, 7:32 PM CST (01:32 UTC)
Expired: Mar 17, 2004, 8:15 PM CST
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Okmulgee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 17, 5:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 732 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2303 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

294 
WUUS54 KTSA 180132
SVRTUL
OKC111-180215-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
731 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 731 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5
  MILES NORTH OF WILSON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILSON...
  OKMULGEE...HOFFMAN...GRAYSON...SCHULTER AND MORRIS.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE 
EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS 
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3563 9609 3550 9609 3545 9585 3568 9571

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 17, 7:08 PM CST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 7:08 PM CST, 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
708 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS HAS BEEN
REPORTED ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL ROTATION. SURFACE BASED LIFTED
INDICES HAVE BEEN -3 TO -5 ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA. AS STORMS MOVE
FURTHER EAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THEY WILL BECOME MORE
ELEVATED IN NATURE AS INSTABILITIES BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR
SURFACE BASED ACTIVITY. LARGE HAIL WILL STILL THE PRIMARY CONCERN
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

FORECAST ID= 23

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 2:50 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
250 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181200-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...

A MOSTLY SUNNY MILD AFTERNOON IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HOWEVER CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE RAPIDLY THIS
EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 2-3 THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE GROUND WILL
INCREASE TO OVER 40 MILES AN HOUR ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ON THE NOSE OF THESE STRONGER WINDS IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 8 PM AND WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.

ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE STRONG WITH ELEVATED LIFTED INDICES OF
AROUND -6 ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
OVERNIGHT. THUS LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE APPEARS LIKELY WITH
THE STORMS.

THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT WILL BE IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. MOISTURE WILL BE MORE LIMITED IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SO STORM DEVELOPMENT IS MORE IN QUESTION IN THIS
AREA. HOWEVER...IF A STORM CAN DEVELOP IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...IT
WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL.

THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT SHOULD END BY AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY
MORNING.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE CURRENT HAZARDS SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.
GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE
ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD ALSO BE STRONG TO
SEVERE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 17, 5:06 PM CST, 2 hours 26 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ054>057-059>076-180500-
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-ADAIR OK-CHEROKEE OK-CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-DELAWARE
OK-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE
OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG
OK-ROGERS OK-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-WASHINGTON OK-

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 28
UNTIL 1100 PM CST WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
BENTON              CARROLL            CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN            MADISON            SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON

IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
ADAIR               CHEROKEE           CRAIG
CREEK               DELAWARE           HASKELL
LATIMER             LE FLORE           MCINTOSH
MAYES               MUSKOGEE           NOWATA
OKFUSKEE            OKMULGEE           OSAGE
PAWNEE              PITTSBURG          ROGERS
SEQUOYAH            TULSA              WAGONER
WASHINGTON

Local storm report, Mar 17, 6:05 PM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
605 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     HAIL             5 S TULSA               36.06N 95.92W
03/17/2004  0.88 INCH        TULSA              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

0520 PM     HAIL             JENKS                   36.00N 95.97W
03/17/2004  0.88 INCH        TULSA              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

GM

Local storm report, Mar 17, 6:13 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 PM CST WED MAR 17 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             1 NW ONETA              36.03N 95.73W
03/17/2004  2.00 INCH        WAGONER            OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            AT HIGHWAY 51 AND THE CREEK TURNPIKE

&&

GM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 17, 6:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Wagoner	45 min
Mar 17, 6:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	47 min
Mar 17, 6:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	40 min
Mar 17, 6:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	44 min
Mar 17, 6:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	34 min
Mar 17, 6:49 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Wagoner	41 min
Mar 17, 6:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	52 min
Mar 17, 7:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	43 min
Mar 17, 7:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Sequoyah	45 min
Mar 17, 7:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	24 min
Mar 17, 7:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	37 min
Mar 17, 8:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	44 min
Mar 17, 8:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	51 min
Mar 17, 8:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Wagoner	46 min
Mar 17, 8:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	36 min
Mar 17, 8:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	60 min
Mar 17, 8:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	53 min
Mar 17, 8:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	48 min
Mar 17, 9:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	28 min
Mar 17, 9:33 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	42 min
Mar 17, 9:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Okmulgee	52 min
Mar 17, 9:47 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah	58 min
Mar 17, 9:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	65 min
Mar 17, 10:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell	39 min
Mar 17, 10:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	39 min
Mar 17, 11:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	47 min
Mar 17, 11:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	47 min
Mar 17, 11:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.