Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

August 13, 2004Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 13, 2004, 1:50 PM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2004, 1:50 PM EDT (17:50 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2004, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Polk County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 13, 7:30 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr
Aug 13, 1:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC12 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -160 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1607 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 131750
SVRTBW
FLC105-131815-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
150 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT

* AT 150 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS...OVER EASTERN POLK
  COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  RURAL EASTERN POLK COUNTY.
  
MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...
TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...MAINLY TO
TREES AND POWER LINES. POORLY ANCHORED ROOFS...MOBILE HOMES...AND
SHEDS ARE ALSO AT RISK.


&&

LAT...LON 2791 8158 2792 8137 2816 8135 2822 8159

$$

25

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 13, 10:49 AM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 10:49 AM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1049 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

HURRICANE CHARLEY CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH UP ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST THIS MORNING. LATEST COORD WITH TPC SHOWS LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE
IN THE OVERALL FORECAST TRACK WITH CHARLEY FORECASTED TO AFFECT THE
TAMPA BAY AREA BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT. ONGOING
ZONES LOOK GOOD FOR NOW...SO NO MORNING UPDATES PLANNED. WILL UPDATE
THE COASTAL MARINE FORECAST SHORTLY WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS EXPECTED.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT
 60NM INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO...PASCO...
 PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...MANATEE...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE...
 DESOTO...AND LEE.
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING FOR SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE AND
 HIGHLANDS COUNTIES.
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 5 PM TODAY FOR PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
 MANATEE...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE
 COUNTIES.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY FOR LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...
 HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...
 SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE
 COUNTIES

SHORT TERM...JCM
LONG TERM...RD
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 13, 6:34 AM EDT, 7 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
634 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-131520-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
634 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

...HURRICANE CHARLEY HEADED FOR THE SUNCOAST TODAY...

...HURRICANE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE
RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

...SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH TOWARD THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS EVENING.

THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM THIS STORM WILL BE WIND DAMAGE...AS WELL AS
STORM SURGE OVER AND SOUTH OF WHERE CHARLEY MAKES LANDFALL.  HEAVY
RAINS AND FLOODING REMAIN A SECONDARY HAZARD...BUT THE SPEED OF THE
STORM SHOULD LIMIT THE EXTENT AND AMOUNT OF HEAVY RAINS ON THE
SUNCOAST.

...EXPECTED WIND HAZARDS...
ON ITS CURRENT TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE UP THE COAST BY THIS
EVENING.  SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
VERY NEAR WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM.

WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE WIND DAMAGE IS A REAL POSSIBILITY WITH
THIS STORM...EVEN WELL INLAND.

...STORM SURGE...
THE MOVEMENT OF THE STORM WILL CAUSE THE POTENTIAL FOR A RAPID RISE
IN WATER LEVELS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES
LAND.  THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WHERE EXACTLY THE CENTER WILL
CROSS...AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE STORM TO TRACK VERY CLOSE TO
THE COAST BEFORE SWINGING INLAND.

...HEAVY RAINS...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AND WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SUNCOAST...ANY ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS
COULD EXACERBATE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL ON RAIN SWOLLEN RIVERS AND LOW
LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY:

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.  THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM
STRONGER CELLS WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY AS CHARLEY SWEEPS UP THE SUNCOAST.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION...CHECK OUT
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

PRC

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 13, 7:51 AM EDT, 5 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
751 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

FLZ050>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-853-856-122100-
CHARLOTTE-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-MANATEE-PINELLAS-
POLK-SARASOTA-
751 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 749 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR
HILLSBOROUGH...SARASOTA...POLK...HIGHLANDS...HARDEE...DE SOTO...
PINELLAS...LEE...CHARLOTTE AND MANATEE COUNTIES.

APPROACHING HURRICANE CHARLEY IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO...COMBINED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND WIND SHEAR...WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF FAST MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. SMALL FAST MOVING
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

JCM
Special weather statement, Aug 13, 1:50 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
150 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-140600-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
150 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 750 IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR
PASCO...SUMTER...LEVY...CITRUS...HILLSBOROUGH...SARASOTA...
HERNANDO...POLK...HIGHLANDS...HARDEE...DE SOTO...PINELLAS...LEE...
CHARLOTTE AND MANATEE COUNTIES.

MAJOR HURRICANE CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. MULTIPLE
BANDS OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
THROUGH TONIGHT. INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WITHIN THESE
BANDS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF SMALL FAST MOVING TORNADOES WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

JCM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 1:39 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW51 min
Aug 13, 2:47 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW58 min
Aug 13, 4:02 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW58 min
Aug 13, 4:02 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW58 min
Aug 13, 5:00 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW60 min
Aug 13, 11:52 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHardee, Highlands23 min
Aug 13, 12:21 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHighlands24 min
Aug 13, 12:47 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk28 min
Aug 13, 1:15 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHighlands, Polk30 min
Aug 13, 1:57 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk33 min
Aug 13, 2:10 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWSumter35 min
Aug 13, 2:49 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto26 min
Aug 13, 3:12 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto, Hardee33 min
Aug 13, 3:14 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHighlands31 min
Aug 13, 3:23 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW67 min
Aug 13, 3:27 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota33 min
Aug 13, 3:41 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHardee, Highlands34 min
Aug 13, 4:01 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.