Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 944

May 27, 200419 counties in Illinois; 35 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 27, 2004, 3:12 PM CDT for 19 counties in Illinois; 35 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2004, 3:12 PM CDT (20:12 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2004, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 54 counties

Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Coles County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Ford County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Benton County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wayne County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2004-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 577 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2004-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
577 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-123 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
465 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

681 
ACUS11 KWNS 272013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272012 
OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-272215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0944
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL...CNTRL IN...W CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 309...

VALID 272012Z - 272215Z

CONTINUE WW.

100 MB MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE IS NOW IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG...AND UP
TO 3000 J/KG...ALONG LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENT AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND CENTRAL INDIANA.  THIS AREA IS BENEATH ZONE BETWEEN
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN BRANCHES OF STRONGER WESTERLIES...WHICH WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT NEXT FEW HOURS AS UPSTREAM NORTHERN
BRANCH TROUGH CONTINUES EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. 
MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/ASCENT ALREADY IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WHERE NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
APPEARS LIKELY SHORTLY.

OTHERWISE...DOWNSTREAM ACTIVITY ROUGHLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
CORRIDOR ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY.  LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN
STRONGER CELLS...AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE TOWARD
28/00Z...AS CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GROW/BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED
IN STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

..KERR.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...

40339030 40548873 40758716 40258545 39508457 38848621
39098757 39438976

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 13 more63 min
May 26, 8:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 16 more5 hr
May 26, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 25 more54 min
May 26, 11:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 17 more2 hr
May 27, 1:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChristian, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 9 more3 hr
May 27, 11:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, DeWitt and 25 more2 hr
May 27, 11:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Pike and 3 more6 hr
May 27, 1:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar and 12 more113 min
May 27, 1:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas and 22 more7 hr
May 27, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Pike and 1 more113 min
May 27, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin, Greene and 12 more7 hr
May 27, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Effingham and 22 more113 min
May 27, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Edwards, Effingham and 7 more4 hr
May 27, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jackson and 11 more89 min
May 27, 6:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Macon, Morgan and 4 more90 min
May 27, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOhio, Switzerland25 min
May 27, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCJefferson, Ohio, Switzerland5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.