Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 941

May 27, 20044 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 27, 2004, 1:07 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2004, 1:07 PM CDT (18:07 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2004, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 61 counties

Champaign County, IL, Clark County, IL, Coles County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Marion County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, Boone County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Preble County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2004-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 577 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2004-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
577 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-123 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
465 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

272 
ACUS11 KWNS 271808
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271807 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-272000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0941
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0107 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL...S CNTRL IND...SW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 271807Z - 272000Z

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING...AND ONE OR MORE ADDITIONAL
WWS LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED SHORTLY.

LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS/WEAK LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE IS READILY
EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS/SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA INTO SOUTHWEST OHIO...GENERALLY NEAR/EAST OF QUINCY/
SPRINGFIELD/BLOOMINGTON AND CINCINNATI.  VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
WITH 70F DEW POINTS ALONG AND WEST OF THIS BOUNDARY HAS ALREADY
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE UP TO AROUND
2000 J/KG.  LITTLE OR NO CONVECTIVE INHIBITION APPEARS TO REMAIN...
AND ENHANCED ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG THERMAL GRADIENT SHOULD SUPPORT
INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN NEXT FEW HOURS.  FORCING ON
TAIL END OF NORTHERN BRANCH TROUGH SHIFTING EAST OF THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL AIDED EVOLUTION OF ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS OF
STORMS.

GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY...MODERATE TO STRONG MID/UPPER WIND
FIELDS AND VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...WITH ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AS ACTIVITY
BECOMES ROOTED IN VERY MOIST/BUOYANT BOUNDARY LAYER.

..KERR.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...LOT...ILX...

40469030 40708913 40598793 40168661 39848521 39818420
39158373 38868420 38648563 39728996

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 13 more63 min
May 26, 8:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 16 more5 hr
May 26, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 25 more54 min
May 26, 11:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 17 more2 hr
May 27, 1:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChristian, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 9 more3 hr
May 27, 11:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, DeWitt and 25 more2 hr
May 27, 11:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Pike and 3 more6 hr
May 27, 1:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Coles, DeWitt, Douglas and 22 more7 hr
May 27, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Pike and 1 more113 min
May 27, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin, Greene and 12 more7 hr
May 27, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt and 13 more2 hr
May 27, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Effingham and 22 more113 min
May 27, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Edwards, Effingham and 7 more4 hr
May 27, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jackson and 11 more89 min
May 27, 6:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, DeWitt, Douglas, Edgar, Macon, Morgan and 4 more90 min
May 27, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOhio, Switzerland25 min
May 27, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCJefferson, Ohio, Switzerland5 hr
May 27, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Bourbon, Carroll, Clark, Fayette and 16 more53 min
May 27, 4:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Coshocton, Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin and 22 more91 min
May 27, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Coshocton, Crawford, Delaware and 30 more5 hr
May 27, 6:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Coshocton, Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin and 23 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.