Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004
Mesoscale Discussion 232
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 27, 2004, 2:34 PM CST for 18 counties in Kansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 116 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2004, 2:34 PM CST (20:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 27, 2004, 4:30 PM CST
- In force
- 116 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 31 counties
Barber County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK
The watches that followed
Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1373 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 642 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 249 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 244 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 6.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
536 ACUS11 KWNS 272034 SWOMCD SPC MCD 272034 KSZ000-OKZ000-272230- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0232 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0234 PM CST SAT MAR 27 2004 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/NRN OK...S CNTRL KS CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 35...37... VALID 272034Z - 272230Z CONTINUE REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WWS. 20Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES SHARPENING DRY LINE NOW EXTENDS EAST OF DODGE CITY KS INTO AREAS SOUTHWEST OF ALTUS OK. SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE HEATED INTO THE LOWER/MID 80S TO THE IMMEDIATE WEST OF DRY LINE...AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION TO THE EAST CONTINUES TO SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WITH MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE INCREASING TO 2000 J/KG...ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY FURTHER NEXT FEW HOURS. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE ALREADY BEEN PRODUCED BY STRONGEST SUPERCELLS...AND AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO OR TWO APPEARS POSSIBLE NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY INTO THE WICHITA AREA BY AROUND 28/00Z. WITH LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION INCREASING ALONG SOUTHEASTWARD SURGING COLD FRONT...THUNDERSTORMS MAY BEGIN CONSOLIDATING INTO LARGER CONVECTIVE CLUSTER BETWEEN ENID AND WICHITA AFTER 28/00Z. POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ALSO BECOMING INCREASING THREAT. ..KERR.. 03/27/2004 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC... 36169934 37229944 37879885 38669779 38379635 37659602 36889630 35829762 34919882 35349948
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 6:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 1:55 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Grant, Morton, Seward, Stanton, Stevens | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 7:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Harper and 7 more | 93 min |
| Mar 27, 9:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 21 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 11:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 23 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 27, 12:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Harper, Sumner | 113 min |
| Mar 27, 1:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, McPherson and 6 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 27, 1:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Edwards, Kingman, Pawnee, Pratt and 3 more | 114 min |
| Mar 27, 3:04 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 21 more | 116 min |
| Mar 27, 9:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Roger Mills | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 12:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 17 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 27, 1:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cotton, Tillman | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 3:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Hughes, McIntosh and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 5:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 14 more | 37 min |
| Mar 27, 5:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 11 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.