Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 1513

July 5, 20044 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 5, 2004, 1:16 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2004, 1:16 AM CDT (06:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2004, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 77 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Webster County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Atchison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1889 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1889 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1675 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

066 
ACUS11 KWNS 050617
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050616 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-050745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1513
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB....WRN IA...NERN KS...NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 555...557...

VALID 050616Z - 050745Z

IT APPEARS SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 555 AND 557 WILL NEED TO BE REPLACED
WITH A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH COVERING SECTIONS OF ERN NEB/WRN
IA...NERN KS AND NWRN MO.

LARGE ARC OF OUTFLOW IN ADVANCE OF DEEP CONVECTIVELY INDUCED COLD
POOL AND STRATIFORM RAIN AREA CONTINUES DEVELOPING NEWD TOWARD THE
MO RIVER VALLEY AREA THIS MORNING. LATEST TRACK TAKES DEEP
CONVECTION NEWD AT 35-40KT ACROSS ERN NEB AND INTO WRN IA THROUGH
09Z. AN AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY REMAINS FOCUSED ALONG SYNOPTIC
BOUNDARY BISECTING IA...AS WELL AS AHEAD OF NRN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NOW
MOVING INTO NERN NEB. GIVEN FAST NEWD COLD POOL MOTION AND FCST OF
STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW AS UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EWD
FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...CONVECTION SHOULD OCCASIONALLY REACH SEVERE
LEVELS WITH HIGH WIND AND HAIL HAZARD SPREADING NEWD INTO EARLY
MORNING.

..CARBIN.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...

39089563 40389749 40849825 41399886 42799688 42989494
41909327

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills5 hr
Jul 5, 2:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun and 31 more5 hr
Jul 5, 4:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 30 more2 hr
Jul 5, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines and 22 more60 min
Jul 5, 4:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan and 51 more6 hr
Jul 5, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cedar and 40 more60 min
Jul 4, 7:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNorton, Phillips58 min
Jul 4, 7:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 15 more2 hr
Jul 4, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCloud, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton, Osborne and 5 more7 hr
Jul 4, 9:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Cowley, Dickinson, Elk, Ellsworth and 11 more54 min
Jul 4, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase and 44 more6 hr
Jul 4, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Phillips, Republic, Smith60 min
Jul 4, 11:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clark, Comanche and 30 more55 min
Jul 5, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Barber, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 20 more114 min
Jul 5, 3:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 10 more6 hr
Jul 5, 6:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho88 min
Jul 5, 12:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas2 hr
Jul 5, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Logan, Rawlins, Sheridan and 3 more6 hr
Jul 5, 3:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette and 5 more92 min
Jul 5, 4:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barber, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 20 more114 min
Jul 5, 4:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 7 more54 min
Jul 5, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barber, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 17 more5 hr
Jul 5, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford, Grant and 18 more6 hr
Jul 5, 5:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Logan, Norton, Rawlins and 4 more83 min
Jul 5, 6:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole and 19 more4 hr
Jul 5, 9:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, Pike, Saint Charles, Saint Louis and 2 more63 min
Jul 5, 4:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 46 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.