Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 13, 2004Taylor County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 13, 2004, 4:25 PM CDT for Taylor County, Texas. It was in force for 110 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 13, 2004, 4:25 PM CDT (21:25 UTC)
Expired: May 13, 2004, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 110 min
Issued by: NWS San Angelo, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Taylor County, TX

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 13, 6:00 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Abilene, TX	WATER OVER THE ROAD IN THE CITY OF ABILENE.
May 13, 6:00 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Abilene, TX	WATER OVER THE ROAD IN THE CITY OF ABILENE.
May 13, 6:00 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Abilene, TX	WATER OVER THE ROAD IN THE CITY OF ABILENE.
May 13, 6:00 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Abilene, TX	WATER OVER THE ROAD IN THE CITY OF ABILENE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 95 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2743 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1092 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 132125
FFWSJT
TXC441-132315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
425 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  TAYLOR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ABILENE

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 415 PM CDT...TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD
  WAS REPORTED NEAR MERKEL.  THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING THIS HEAVY
  RAIN IS MOVING INTO THE ABILENE AREA.  RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2
  INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE OVER ABILENE.

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS 
THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. 
REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

LAT...LON 3251 9996 3235 9986 3240 9964 3252 9965

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 132237
FFSSJT
TXC441-132315-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
535 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TAYLOR COUNTY UNTIL
615 PM CDT...

AT 523 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN 
HAVE FALLEN OVER NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTY SINCE 4 PM.  
CURRENTLY...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING OVER SOUTHERN TAYLOR 
COUNTY BETWEEN OVALO AND POTOSI. THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN 
TAYLOR COUNTY ARE MOVING EAST AND EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF WITHIN THE 
HOUR.  LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 13, 3:26 PM CDT, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 3:26 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
326 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

.SHORT TERM...
NOT MUCH TIME DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER...STORMS DEVELOPED ALONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY...AND ALSO OVER THE HEARTLAND AND
EASTERN CONCHO VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO A WESTWARD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER ACTIVITY IN CENTRAL TEXAS. OUR THINKING IS THAT
STORMS ALONG FRONT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD.
DRY LINE CURRENTLY NEAR SAN ANGELO...BUT BELIEVE IT WILL REMAIN
STATIONARY OR POSSIBLY MOVE BACK WEST A BIT UNTIL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
OUT WEST GETS CLOSER. &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE     55  70  54  81 /  60  20  10   0
SAN ANGELO  60  74  56  81 /  70  40  10  10
JUNCTION    64  77  56  81 /  70  50  10  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

09

Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 3:35 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
335 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-142034-
BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-CROCKETT TX-
FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX-
MCCULLOCH TX-MENARD TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SAN SABA TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-SUTTON TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
TOM GREEN TX-
335 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 1:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
137 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             6 NE HAMLIN             32.95N 100.05W
05/13/2004  1.75 INCH        JONES              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TEXTDEMO

Local storm report, May 13, 1:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
140 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             4 NE MELVIN             31.24N 99.53W
05/13/2004  1.75 INCH        MCCULLOCH          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TEXTDEMO

Local storm report, May 13, 2:22 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
222 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0218 PM     HAIL             HAMLIN                  32.88N 100.13W
05/13/2004  1.75 INCH        JONES              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TEXTDEMO

Local storm report, May 13, 3:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
303 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             STAMFORD                32.94N 99.80W
05/13/2004  0.75 INCH        JONES              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TEXTDEMO

Local storm report, May 13, 4:21 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
421 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     HAIL             3 E MERKEL              32.47N 99.96W
05/13/2004  1.00 INCH        TAYLOR             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

HT

Local storm report, May 13, 4:23 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
423 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     HAIL             DYESS AFB               32.42N 99.86W
05/13/2004  1.00 INCH        TAYLOR             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

HT

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 12:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Haskell	58 min
May 13, 1:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Haskell	53 min
May 13, 1:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Jones	64 min
May 13, 1:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	McCulloch	53 min
May 13, 1:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Kimble, Mason	56 min
May 13, 1:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Fisher	55 min
May 13, 1:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Fisher	52 min
May 13, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels	63 min
May 13, 2:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Jones	60 min
May 13, 2:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Menard	63 min
May 13, 2:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Throckmorton	62 min
May 13, 2:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Haskell	4 hr
May 13, 2:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Concho, McCulloch	58 min
May 13, 2:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Haskell	56 min
May 13, 2:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Fisher	67 min
May 13, 2:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Mason	60 min
May 13, 2:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Jones	53 min
May 13, 3:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels	58 min
May 13, 3:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Taylor	65 min
May 13, 3:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Throckmorton	64 min
May 13, 3:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Concho, McCulloch	59 min
May 13, 3:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Menard, Shackelford	56 min
May 13, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan	47 min
May 13, 3:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Concho, Runnels	42 min
May 13, 3:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Taylor	66 min
May 13, 3:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Shackelford, Throckmorton	62 min
May 13, 3:45 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, McCulloch, Mason, Menard, Runnels	6 hr
May 13, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Jones	59 min
May 13, 3:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Mason	64 min
May 13, 4:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman	58 min
May 13, 4:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Mason, Menard	63 min
May 13, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan	61 min
May 13, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Throckmorton	44 min
May 13, 4:20 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Nolan	25 min
May 13, 4:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan	55 min
May 13, 4:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Taylor	66 min
May 13, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Shackelford	59 min
May 13, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Runnels	66 min
May 13, 5:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Mason	64 min
May 13, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan	65 min
May 13, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Taylor	46 min
May 13, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	McCulloch, Menard	59 min
May 13, 6:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Mason	55 min
May 13, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Brown, Coleman	45 min
May 13, 6:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Mason	33 min
May 13, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Menard	62 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.