Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS San Diego, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
900 PM PST TUE DEC 28 2004

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING PERIODS OF
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SNOW WILL OCCUR AT THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH A WINTER STORM WARNING
ABOVE 6500 FEET. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
STORM...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS...THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT. COOL AND
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES.

FUN FEATURES IN BETWEEN WAVES OF THIS BIG STORM...LIKE SOME TSTORMS.
HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTORMS WENT THROUGH NORTHWEST ORANGE CO AND ONE
WAS POSSIBLY SEVERE. RAIN THERE HAS DIMINISHED FOR NOW WHILE SHOWERS
INCREASE IN SAN DIEGO CO...SO HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD ADVISORY THERE.
STILL POISED OFF THE COAST IS THE SECOND MAJOR WAVE OF THE STORM AND
IT LOOKS PRETTY SERIOUS. GET READY FOR A SIMILAR STYLE EVENT
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT. RAIN AND WIND LASHING SOCAL FOR MOST OF THE
NIGHT. NOW FLOODING BECOMES MORE PROBABLE BECAUSE OF THE SOAKING
RAINS OF LAST NIGHT. SNOW LEVEL WILL COME DOWN TO 5000 FEET BY
SUNRISE WED. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL COINCIDE WITH THE NEXT RAIN
BAND...GENERALLY FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 8 AM OR SO. MOST OF WED WILL
BE SHOWERY WITH SOME TSTORMS. SHOWERS WILL DWINDLE TO ALMOST NOTHING
WED NIGHT AND THU...BUT SMALL CHANCES WILL REMAIN. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVES DOWN THE COAST THU NIGHT WHICH SHOULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN EARLY FRI BUT NOT NEARLY AS HEAVY AS THE CURRENT STORM.
AGAIN...SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND AS
MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW CONTINUES. ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH IS FORECAST BY
MODELS TO COME DOWN THE COAST LATER SUN...BRINGING ANOTHER STRONG
STORM TO THE REGION MON AND TUE.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL 400 PM WEDNESDAY...SEE
LAXFFASGX.

FLOOD ADVISORY FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY UNTIL 1100 PM TONIGHT...SEE
LAXFLSSGX.

RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR SAN DIEGO AND SAN LUIS REY RIVERS...SEE
LAXRVSSGX.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6500 FEET UNTIL 400 PM WEDNESDAY...SEE LAXWSWSGX.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO...RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO
COUNTY MOUNTAINS UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...SEE LAXNPWSGX.

WIND ADVISORY ALL OTHER AREAS UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...SEE LAXNPWSGX.

GALE WARNING INNER AND OUTER WATERS TODAY...SEE LAXCWFSGX.

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT...SEE LAXMWSSGX.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...SEE LAXHWOSGX.

&&

MM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
300 AM PST TUE DEC 28 2004

CAZ042-043-048-050-055>058-060>062-291400-
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-
COACHELLA VALLEY-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
300 AM PST TUE DEC 28 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AN APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING A LONG DURATION OF
PRECIPITATION...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOCAL STRONG
GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.
LOCAL FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AND
BELOW RECENTLY BURNED AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES IN THE DESERTS...2 TO 4 INCHES IN MOST COASTAL AND VALLEY
AREAS...AND 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES
OF THE SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS COULD HAVE RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND 10
INCHES. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL START ABOVE 7000 FEET AND THEN LOWER TO
NEAR 5500 FEET WEDNESDAY.

THE FOLLOWING WARNINGS...WATCHES AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT...

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL 400 PM WEDNESDAY...SEE
LAXFFASGX.

RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR SAN DIEGO AND SAN LUIS REY RIVERS...SEE
LAXRVSSGX.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6500 FEET UNTIL 400 PM WEDNESDAY...SEE LAXWSWSGX.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO...RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO
COUNTY MOUNTAINS BELOW 6500 FEET UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...SEE
LAXNPWSGX.

WIND ADVISORY ALL OTHER AREAS UNTIL NOON WEDNESDAY...SEE LAXNPWSGX.

GALE WARNING INNER AND OUTER WATERS TODAY...SEE LAXCWFSGX

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT...SEE LAXMWSSGX.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY WITH
PERIODS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...DECREASING
IN THE AFTERNOON.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION STATEMENT...WEATHER SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN ACTIVATED.

ATKIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
102 AM PST WED DEC 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FULLERTON               33.88N 117.93W
12/29/2004                   ORANGE             CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES BLOWN DOWN. WIND ESTIMATED OVER 50 MPH.

&&

SCV