Special Marine Warning 13, NWS New York, NY

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
947 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004

CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-181000-
BERGEN NJ-BRONX NY-EASTERN PASSAIC NJ-ESSEX NJ-HUDSON NJ-
KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY-NASSAU NY-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-NORTHERN NEW LONDON CT-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-
NORTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-ORANGE NY-PUTNAM NY-QUEENS NY-
RICHMOND (STATEN IS.) NY-ROCKLAND NY-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON CT-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-
UNION NJ-WESTERN PASSAIC NJ-
947 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE TRI-STATE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY.

A RETREATING WARM FRONT IN CONJUNCTION WITH A MOIST AIRMASS AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY LESS STABLE
ATMOSPHERE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY LATER THIS
MORNING AND INTO THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MINOR LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AND PONDING ON ROADS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
939 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004

CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-172139-
BERGEN NJ-BRONX NY-EASTERN PASSAIC NJ-ESSEX NJ-HUDSON NJ-
KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY-NASSAU NY-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-NORTHERN NEW LONDON CT-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-
NORTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-ORANGE NY-PUTNAM NY-QUEENS NY-
RICHMOND (STATEN IS.) NY-ROCKLAND NY-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON CT-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-
UNION NJ-WESTERN PASSAIC NJ-
939 AM EDT THU JUN 17 2004

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE TRI-STATE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY.

WARM AND HUMID AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AND DAYTIME
HEATING WILL RESULT IN THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES. A SURFACE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES
WILL SLOWLY HEAD EAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING AS THIS LOW EDGES CLOSER. MOST
STORMS WILL CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
FLOODING. STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE...CONTAINING
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

SILVA