Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Omaha, NE

May 21, 2004Cedar County, Nebraska

NWS Omaha, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 21, 2004, 10:45 PM CDT for Cedar County, Nebraska. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 21, 2004, 10:45 PM CDT (03:45 UTC)
Expired: May 21, 2004, 11:30 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Omaha, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Cedar County, NE

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 21, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2589 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1462 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.6
Supercell composite: 6.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

883 
WUUS53 KOAX 220345
SVROAX
NEC027-220430-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1045 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CEDAR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1044 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MAGNET...OR ABOUT 27 MILES
  NORTH OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BELDEN...COLERIDGE...HARTINGTON
  LAUREL

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING 
FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA. 

LAT...LON 4245 9751 4244 9738 4235 9737 4236 9704
          4256 9706 4272 9707 4268 9732

$$

NIETFELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 21, 2:00 PM CDT, 8 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 2:00 PM CDT, 8 hours 45 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
200 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL REMAIN FOCUSED AROUND CHANCE/COVERAGE/STRENGTH
OF TSTMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SURFACE ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
SHOWED LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SWRN NE WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
THROUGH NERN NE/NWRN IA AND THEN TO NRN IL. TSTMS HAVE BEEN QUITE
ACTIVE NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS NRN IA/SRN MN AND SWRN WI. SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH/DRYLINE EXTENDED SOUTHWARD OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS WERE MAINLY IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 LOCALLY.
AIRMASS WAS WELL MIXED SOUTH OF THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. EXPECT STORMS TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND THEN MOVE INTO THE
AREA...BUT WE COULD ALSO GET DEVELOPMENT ACROSS ERN NE AND SWRN IA.
CAP STRENGTH HAS BEEN DECREASING LAST FEW HOURS. WILL KEEP HIGHEST
POPS ACROSS NERN NE FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME SEVERE POSSIBLE
NRN AND CNTRL ZONES WHERE BETTER WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
JUXTAPOSITIONED THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  HAVE LOW TEMPERATURES FROM THE
LOWER TO MID 60S NORTH...AND MID TO UPPER 60S SOUTH TONIGHT.

FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL UNDERGO SOME CHANGES AS TROUGH OVER THE WRN
U.S. AND RIDGE OVER THE SERN U.S. BOTH WEAKEN. THIS LEADS TO A MORE
WESTERLY/ZONAL FLOW BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNTIL THEN...FRONT IS STILL
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AND SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. NONE OF
THE SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN HANDLING THE QPF SITUATION VERY
WELL...BUT BELIEVE ETA MAY BE THE BEST OF WHAT IS AVAILABLE. SERN NE
SHOULD REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR SATURDAY..WITH BEST BET FOR STORMS
AND HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NERN NE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS PCPN AND STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD SHOULD HELP FORCE
BOUNDARY SEWD OUT OF SERN NE/SWRN IA EARLY SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER SHOULD HELP PULL FRONT BACK NORTH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT.  CUTOFF LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE WEST COAST
OF CA BY THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW OUR LOCAL
AREAS TO BECOME MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NRN STREAM ENERGY. THIS
WOULD PROBABLY KEEP US GENERALLY ON THE COOLER SIDE...AND HAVE HIGHS
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAINLY IN THE 70S.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

NOTE...EFFECTIVE 1200 UTC JUNE 8TH THE AWIPS PRODUCT IDENTIFIER
/PID/ FOR THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION ISSUED BY OMAHA WFO WILL
CHANGE TO OMAAFDOAX.  THE WMO CODE WILL REMAIN FXUS63 KOAX.

MILLER

Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 5:46 PM CDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

IAZ043-055-056-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050-065-221116-
ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-HARRISON IA-
KNOX-MADISON-MONONA IA-PIERCE-PLATTE-SEWARD-SHELBY IA-STANTON-
THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
WEST CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BOTH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT COULD CONTAIN LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IF INTENSE
STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING. LOCAL AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA LATER TONIGHT.

VERY UNSTABLE AIR HAS OVERSPREAD THE OUTLOOK AREA.  IN ADDITION...A
WARM FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA TO THE WEST AND NORTH
OF NORFOLK.  WARMER AIR ALOFT HAS LIMITED...TEMPORARILY
ANYWAY...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE AREA. IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN
MANAGE TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...
SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.  OTHERWISE...
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY MOVE EAST
TOWARD THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING.

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT ON
SATURDAY WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS NEAR
THE FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.  HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD SATURDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS NEXT FRIDAY.  LATER HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOKS WILL ADDRESS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION TONIGHT AND
AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

IAZ069-079-080-090-091-NEZ051>053-066>068-078-088>093-221116-
CASS-DOUGLAS-FREMONT IA-GAGE-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LANCASTER-MILLS IA-
MONTGOMERY IA-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAGE IA-PAWNEE-POTTAWATTAMIE IA-RICHARDSON-
SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWESTERN IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE OUTLOOK
AREA TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MID EVENING.  LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS.

VERY UNSTABLE AIR HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA.  HOWEVER...WITH THE WARM
FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT LIMITING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES THIS EVENING ARE
BETTER WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
MANAGE TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING...THE HIGH INSTABILITY PRESENT
COULD ALLOW STORMS TO QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE.  A LITTLE HIGHER CHANCE
OF STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS LATER TONIGHT AS ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS COULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION.
HOWEVER...THE MAJORITY OF SEVERE WEATHER LATER TONIGHT COULD REMAIN
MOSTLY NORTH OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
SATURDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
STORMS SATURDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS NEXT FRIDAY.  LATER HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOKS WILL ADDRESS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED
TONIGHT AND A SOMEWHAT HIGHER PROBABILITY SATURDAY EVENING.

CHERMOK

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 21, 9:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
921 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     HAIL             3 SW WAYNE              42.21N 97.06W
05/21/2004  1.75 INCH        WAYNE              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, May 21, 9:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
929 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     HAIL             ST. HELENA              42.81N 97.25W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        CEDAR              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, May 21, 9:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
935 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     HAIL             1 N ST. HELENA          42.82N 97.25W
05/21/2004  1.25 INCH        CEDAR              NE   PUBLIC

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, May 21, 9:48 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
948 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HAIL             WAYNE                   42.24N 97.02W
05/21/2004  1.75 INCH        WAYNE              NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, May 21, 10:30 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1030 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 PM     HAIL             PENDER                  42.11N 96.71W
05/21/2004  1.75 INCH        THURSTON           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS

Local storm report, May 21, 10:44 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1044 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 PM     TSTM WND GST     PENDER                  42.11N 96.71W
05/21/2004  70 MPH           THURSTON           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ADAMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 21, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Knox, Pierce	36 min
May 21, 7:48 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Knox, Pierce	27 min
May 21, 8:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Cedar	41 min
May 21, 8:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Pierce	31 min
May 21, 8:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Madison, Stanton, Wayne	42 min
May 21, 8:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Pierce	30 min
May 21, 9:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Wayne	34 min
May 21, 9:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Cedar	29 min
May 21, 9:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Cuming, Stanton, Wayne	32 min
May 21, 9:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Thurston	40 min
May 21, 10:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Thurston	45 min
May 21, 10:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Cuming, Wayne	45 min
May 21, 10:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Thurston	44 min
May 21, 10:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Pierce	41 min
May 21, 10:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Wayne	23 min
May 21, 10:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Boone	37 min
May 21, 11:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Boone	28 min
May 21, 11:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Antelope, Madison	52 min
May 21, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Wayne	31 min
May 21, 11:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Cuming	42 min
May 21, 11:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Thurston, Wayne	6 hr
May 21, 11:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Boone, Platte	40 min
May 21, 11:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Thurston	39 min
May 21, 11:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Cuming	46 min
May 22, 12:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Madison	36 min
May 22, 12:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Platte	47 min
May 22, 12:28 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Cuming	6 hr
May 22, 1:14 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Boone, Madison, Platte, Stanton	6 hr
May 22, 1:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Boone	37 min
May 22, 2:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Platte	44 min
May 22, 2:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Colfax, Dodge	41 min
May 22, 3:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Washington	37 min
May 22, 5:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Butler, Colfax, Platte	38 min
May 22, 6:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Colfax, Dodge	48 min
May 22, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Saunders	27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.