Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Morristown, TN

May 31, 2004Carter County, Johnson County, Tennessee

NWS Morristown, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 31, 2004, 5:07 AM EDT for Carter County, Johnson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 31, 2004, 5:07 AM EDT (09:07 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2004, 5:45 AM EDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Morristown, TN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Carter County, TN, Johnson County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 31, 1:40 AM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 504 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1119 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

462 
WUUS54 KMRX 310907
SVRMRX
TNC019-091-310945-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
507 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CARTER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE
  JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 545 AM EDT

* AT 504 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
A   LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF SHADY VALLEY 
TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF MILLIGAN COLLEGE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAUREL BLOOMERY AROUND 515 AM EDT
  MOUNTAIN CITY AROUND 520 AM EDT
  ROAN MOUNTAIN STATE PARK AROUND 525 AM EDT
  TRADE AROUND 540 AM EDT

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...
  WINDS UP TO 60 MPH...WHICH COULD PUSH OVER SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...
  AND DAMAGE CHIMNEYS AND TV ANTENNAS.
  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.
  FREQUENT AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO DEVELOP RAPIDLY IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF
THREATENING WEATHER IS OBSERVED...MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3636 8173 3631 8191 3614 8202 3615 8219
          3626 8232 3638 8222 3649 8201 3661 8185
          3662 8169

$$

DMG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 31, 3:00 AM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 3:00 AM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

.DISCUSSION...AREA RADARS CURRENTLY SHOW WAVY LINE OF CONVECTION
APPROACHING THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF OUR FORECAST AREA. MODELS AND
SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLES GENERALLY AGREE THAT THIS LINE WILL BE NEAR
THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS BY 12Z MONDAY. ANTICIPATE THAT PRECIP
BEHIND THE LINE WILL LINGER INTO THE FIRST PERIOD AND THUS WILL
CONTINUE HIGH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE
RAPIDLY DROPPING OFF THE POPS BY 18Z AS DRIER AIR IS USHERED INTO THE
AREA. REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY GREAT
LAKES UPPER LOW THAT WILL ONLY SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD. HEIGHTS WILL
FALL TO UNSEASONABLY LOW LEVELS AND SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE
UPPER LOW WILL PROVIDE OCCASIONAL UNSETTLED WEATHER. HOWEVER...
GENERALLY BENIGN WEATHER WILL BE THE RULE AS RELATIVELY DRY AIR
REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE AREA.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga, TN   81  59  85  60 /  70  10  10  10
Knoxville, TN     78  58  82  59 /  70  20  10  10
Bristol, TN       77  52  80  57 /  70  20  10  10
Oak Ridge, TN     79  57  83  59 /  70  10  10  10
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...TORNADO WATCH FOR EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NCZ060...NCZ061.
TN...TORNADO WATCH FOR EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ZONES TNC007...
TNC065...TNC115...TNC143...TNC153.

VA...TORNADO WATCH FOR THIS MORNING FOR ZONES VAC105...
VAC167...VAC169...VAC191...VAC195.

&&

LCM

Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 5:00 AM EDT, 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
500 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-010900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
500 AM EDT (400 AM CDT) MON MAY 31 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

THE COLD FRONT THAT CAUSED SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS...TAKING THE MOISTURE WITH IT. DRIER
AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT AND GENERALLY TRANQUIL WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUS...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

LCM

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 31, 4:28 AM EDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
428 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PIKEVILLE               35.61N 85.20W
05/31/2004                   BLEDSOE            TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

Local storm report, May 31, 4:30 AM EDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 AM     TSTM WND DMG     KNOXVILLE               35.97N 83.95W
05/31/2004                   KNOX               TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

Local storm report, May 31, 4:37 AM EDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
437 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     TEN MILE                35.67N 84.67W
05/31/2004                   MEIGS              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

0330 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRING CITY             35.69N 84.86W
05/31/2004                   RHEA               TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

Local storm report, May 31, 4:49 AM EDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
449 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DEERLODGE               36.20N 84.76W
05/31/2004                   MORGAN             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MAYNARDVILLE            36.25N 83.81W
05/31/2004                   UNION              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LENOIR CITY             35.80N 84.27W
05/31/2004                   LOUDON             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

Local storm report, May 31, 4:52 AM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
452 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OCOEE DAM NUMBER 1      35.10N 84.65W
05/31/2004                   POLK               TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

Local storm report, May 31, 4:57 AM EDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
457 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ROCKWOOD                35.87N 84.68W
05/31/2004                   ROANE              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

&&

DAE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 31, 1:30 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Scott	60 min
May 31, 1:55 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Campbell	65 min
May 31, 1:59 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Claiborne, Hancock	61 min
May 31, 2:12 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Marion, Sequatchie	63 min
May 31, 2:43 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hancock	47 min
May 31, 2:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bledsoe, Hamilton	59 min
May 31, 2:47 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Anderson, Morgan, Union	43 min
May 31, 2:52 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	MRX	Marion	28 min
May 31, 3:03 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Claiborne, Grainger	42 min
May 31, 3:07 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	MRX	Hamilton	38 min
May 31, 3:13 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Knox, Loudon, Meigs, Rhea, Roane	62 min
May 31, 3:13 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	MRX	Sequatchie	32 min
May 31, 3:19 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bradley	56 min
May 31, 3:22 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hawkins	38 min
May 31, 3:31 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Anderson	29 min
May 31, 3:36 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hancock	24 min
May 31, 3:37 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	McMinn	53 min
May 31, 3:41 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Polk	64 min
May 31, 3:44 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Grainger, Hamblen, Jefferson	46 min
May 31, 3:44 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount	61 min
May 31, 3:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hamilton	29 min
May 31, 3:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Sullivan	59 min
May 31, 3:51 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Monroe	54 min
May 31, 4:04 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hawkins	26 min
May 31, 4:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Sevier	67 min
May 31, 4:16 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Cocke, Greene, Washington	59 min
May 31, 4:55 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Unicoi	35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.