Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Milwaukee, WI

May 8, 2004Columbia County, Dane County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 8, 2004, 10:14 PM CDT for Columbia County, Dane County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 8, 2004, 10:14 PM CDT (03:14 UTC)
Expired: May 8, 2004, 11:15 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 8, 6:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 499 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMKX 090314
SVRMKX
WIC021-025-090415-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1015 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN
  DANE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1015 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  LAKE WISCONSIN OVER PRAIRIE DU SAC...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE WISCONSIN BY 1020 PM CDT.
  LODI BY 1025 PM CDT.
  POYNETTE BY 1030 PM CDT.
  WAUNAKEE BY 1035 PM CDT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STORMS...YOU SHOULD PREPARE
FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY

LAT...LON 4311 8920 4315 8939 4324 8971 4333 8971
          4340 8957 4337 8903 4305 8903

$$

DAVIS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 8, 3:00 PM CDT, 7 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 3:00 PM CDT, 7 hours 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON WET UNSETTLED PERIOD THIS WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WILL ISSUED FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT FOR COUNTIES WHICH
RECEIVED UP TO 3.5 INCHES OF RAIN LAST NIGHT.

IN THE SHORT TERM...WEATHER SITUATION SETTING UP VERY SIMILAR TO
LAST NIGHT WITH SOME MINOR CHANGES.  FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS NOW PUSHED
NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS. VERY TIGHT INSTABILITY GRADIENT
COINCIDENT WITH DECENT 850 CONVERGENT AREA REACHES FROM IOWA TO
WISCONSIN/ILLINOIS BORDER LATE THIS AFTERNOON. BUT MOST IMPRESSIVE
FEATURE IS VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH DAKOTA. BOTH RUC
AND GFS PROGS TRACK THIS FEATURE ACROSS CWA AFTER 06Z AS NOSE OF LOW
LEVEL JET AGAIN ENHANCES OVER IOWA THIS EVENING AND LEANS TOWARD
NORTHERN ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT. INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY
IN PLACE AS EVIDENT BY LOW 70 DEWPOINTS OVER IOWA. PROGS KEEP POOL
OF PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS OVERNIGHT. RIVERS OVER CWA STILL IN DECENT SHAPE TO
TAKE A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...BUT COUNTIES IN FLASH FLOOD WATCH
MORE LIKELY TO FLOOD WITH MORE THAN 1 INCH OF RAIN IN A SHORT TIME.

IN THE FAR TERM...PROGS/GUIDANCE CONFIRM A DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY SUNDAY MORNING. THEN EXPECT FRONT TO PUSH NORTHWARD WITH
CWA IN ITS WARM SECTOR. THUS HAVE GONE DRY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
WILL AWAIT COOL FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH PROGS HAVE TROUBLE
DECIDING ON ITS PASSAGE. WILL GO WITH CHANCY MENTION FOR CONVECTION
FOR NOW UNTIL TIMING OF FRONT MORE CERTAIN.

IN THE FAR FAR TERM...UNSETTLED PERIOD OF WEATHER CONTINUES THOUGH
A BRIEF BREAK MAY OCCUR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.MKX...FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT ZONES 46..47..51..52

ZAJDEL

Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 11:24 AM CDT, 10 hours 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1124 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-090226-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
1124 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS...LARGE HAIL
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORM WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 8, 8:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
836 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0833 PM     FLOOD            WAUPUN                  43.63N 88.74W
05/08/2004                   DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 FOOT OF STANDING WATER NEAR THE CORNER OF HIGHWAY 151
            AND HIGHWAY 26 FOR 100 FEET.

&&

Local storm report, May 8, 8:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
844 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     FLOOD            MARKESAN                43.71N 88.99W
05/08/2004                   GREEN LAKE         WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORT OF FLOODING EAST OF JOHN STREET IN CITY OF
            MARKESAN

&&

TEXTDEMO

Special weather statement, May 8, 9:20 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
920 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-090300-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
920 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 167 IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

A 60-MILE WIDE BAND OF MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED
FROM CRAWFORD COUNTY EAST TO SHEBOYGAN COUNTY. THE PRECIPITATION WAS
GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 BETWEEN MADISON AND MILWAUKEE...AND
NORTH OF STATE HIGHWAY 18 WEST OF MADISON.

THE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL SAG SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE COUNTIES ALONG THE ILLINOIS BORDER SHOULD
EXPERIENCE THESE STORMS BY 11 PM OR MIDNIGHT.

 PRAIRIE DU CHIEN TO
MADISON TO WAUPUN TO NEAR SHEBOYGAN. THIS LINE WILL SAG SLOWLY EAST-
SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING.

ANY OF THE STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60
MPH AND LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...WITH PONDING OF
WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS.

KAPELA

Local storm report, May 8, 9:49 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
949 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0939 PM     HAIL             5 NW ROCK SPRINGS       43.53N 89.99W
05/08/2004  0.75 INCH        SAUK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TEXTDEMO

Special weather statement, May 8, 9:57 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
957 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-090330-
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-
KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK-
SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA-
957 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2004

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 167 IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO WAUKESHA
TO JANESVILLE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO THE RACINE AND KENOSHA AREA
BY 11 PM. GUST WINDS TO 30 TO 40 MPH...PEA-SIZE HAIL...AND HEAVY
RAINS ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. OF COURSE...LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WAS OVER SAUK
COUNTY. THIS CLUSTER WILL AFFECT EASTERN SAUK COUNTY AND WESTERN
COLUMBIA COUNTY UNTIL 1030 PM CDT. ANOTHER SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS
OVER EASTERN FOND DU LAC COUNTY WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH SHEBOYGAN
COUNTY BY 1130 PM.

ANY OF THE STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60
MPH AND LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...WITH PONDING OF
WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS.

KAPELA

Local storm report, May 8, 10:13 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1013 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HAIL             4 S WAUKESHA            42.95N 88.24W
05/08/2004  0.75 INCH        WAUKESHA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

XX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 8, 7:44 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MKX	Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Marquette, Sauk, Sheboygan	4 hr
May 8, 9:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sauk	63 min
May 8, 10:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Milwaukee, Waukesha	41 min
May 8, 10:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Kenosha, Racine, Walworth	53 min
May 8, 10:26 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		94 min
May 8, 10:26 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		94 min
May 8, 11:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Kenosha, Racine	51 min
May 8, 11:58 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		92 min
May 8, 11:58 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		92 min
May 9, 12:10 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MKX	Racine, Walworth	95 min
May 9, 1:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha	23 min
May 9, 1:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha	18 min
May 9, 1:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Jefferson, Milwaukee, Walworth, Waukesha	47 min
May 9, 1:46 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		59 min
May 9, 1:46 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		59 min
May 9, 1:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine	56 min
May 9, 2:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Milwaukee, Racine, Waukesha	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.