Severe Thunderstorm Warning 311, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
200 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF
CWA. THE DEVELOPMENT IS IN RESPONSE TO A INVERTED SFC TROUGH LOCATED
NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND A WEAK UPPER VORT. UPPER VORT WILL BE
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD...BUT WILL STAY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. ONCE UPPER VORT MOVES OUT OF CWA...EXPECT
DRY WEATHER THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN
CONTROL. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME...FORECAST
DEPENDS ON LOCATION OF IVAN. CURRENT NHC TRACK KEEPS IVAN FAR ENOUGH
EAST TO KEEP RAIN OUT OF CWA...BUT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT WOULD BRING
PRECIP INTO EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA. STAY TUNED. FOR THE REST OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE MIDSOUTH WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
UPPER RIDGE. THIS WILL CONTINUE DRY WEATHER WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS.
&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

KRS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
333 AM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-131000-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
333 AM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
116 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

TNZ004-121845-
HENRY TN-
116 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...HENRY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF COTTAGE GROVE AT
116 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN HENRY COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.