Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
934 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2004

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT FORECAST IS OK AND NO UPDATES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.
SATELLITE SHOWS NORTHERN PART OF MCS THAT SKIRTED NORTH MS THIS
MORNING IS WEAKENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
MOVED INTO NORTH MS EARLIER ARE QUICKLY DISSIPATING. AS A
RESULT...THINK CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WILL THIN THIS
AFTERNOON. NEXT MATTER OF CONCERN IS THE WEAK COLD FRONT JUST TO OUR
NORTH. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT IT STRETCHES FROM
SOUTHERN IL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO INTO NORTHERN AR. THIS FRONT WILL
MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY. THINK ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WITH CAPES FORECAST
TO CLIMB TO NEAR 3000 J/KG AND DRY AIR ALOFT AS INDICATED BY 12Z
LZK SOUNDING...PULSE TYPE STORMS WITH MICROBURST POTENTIAL ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
306 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-031100-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
306 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE MID-SOUTH TODAY AND MAY TRIGGER
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.