Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
955 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT NOW OVER CNTRL AR WILL MOVE THROUGH MOST OF THE CWA
VERY LATE TONIGHT. AN INTENSE SQUALL LINE NOW ALONG THE MS RVR WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE CWA OVERNIGHT. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALL LIKELY WITH THIS LINE. A FEW
ROTATING SUPERCELLS MAY STILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE. THE
SITUATION IS COVERED WELL BY A TORNADO WATCH AND SPC DAY 1 OUTLOOK
INCLUDING MOST OF THE CWA UNDER A HIGH RISK.

EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO CLEAR THE REST OF THE NRN MS COUNTIES
MONDAY. A SLGT CHC OF TSTMS STILL REMAINS OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE
CWA MONDAY...BUT THE SVR RISK IS LOW.

OTHER SHORTWAVES WILL BRING CHCS OF SHWRS/TSTMS LATER IN THE FCST
PERIOD BUT NOTHING LOOKS SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.MEG...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

SWC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
945 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-311100-
ALCORN-BENTON-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DECATUR-DESOTO-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-
POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-
YALOBUSHA-
945 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

A MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS ONGOING ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH
TONIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FOR MOST OF
EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGH RISK AREA IS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO KENNETT MISSOURI LINE AND INCLUDES
BLYTHEVILLE...DYERSBURG...MEMPHIS...JACKSON...CLARKSDALE...OXFORD
AND TUPELO.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FOR THE
REST OF EAST ARKANSAS. THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS NORTHWEST OF A
JONESBORO TO KENNETT LINE AND INCLUDES WALNUT RIDGE.

AN INTENSE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN
LINE OF STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SEVERAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
SEVERE.

THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY TIME
PERIOD FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS FROM NOW THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE WILL BE OTHER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WEEK. AT
THIS TIME...THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED FROM NOW THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.

SWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
841 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0702 PM     TSTM WND GST     POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
05/30/2004  60 MPH           RANDOLPH           AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            WINDS GUSTS REPORTED TO 60 MPH

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POCAHONTAS              36.26N 90.97W
05/30/2004                   RANDOLPH           AR   CO-OP OBSERVER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS REPORTED DOWN

0720 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W EGYPT               35.87N 90.95W
05/30/2004  60 MPH           CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH

0737 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PIGGOTT                 36.38N 90.20W
05/30/2004                   CLAY               AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0738 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 S PARAGOULD           36.00N 90.51W
05/30/2004  60 MPH           GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GUSTS TO 60 MPH

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PIGGOTT                 36.38N 90.20W
05/30/2004                   CLAY               AR   PUBLIC

            SHEDS DESTROYED...TRAILERS DAMAGED...LOTS OF TREES
            KNOCKED DOWN.

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N WEINER              35.69N 90.90W
05/30/2004                   POINSETT           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES AND SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR THE

            POINSETT AND CRAIGHEAD COUNTY LINE ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 49

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N CLARKTON            36.48N 89.97W
05/30/2004                   DUNKLIN            MO   AIRPLANE PILOT

            POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN BETWEEN CLARKTON AND MALDEM.

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLARKTON                36.45N 89.97W
05/30/2004                   DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN IN CLARKTON AND THE NEARBY TOWN
            OF MCGUIRE.

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     SENATH                  36.13N 90.16W
05/30/2004  60 MPH           DUNKLIN            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SENATH                  36.13N 90.16W
05/30/2004                   DUNKLIN            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN

&&

CORDERO